As UK voters head to the polls in local elections widely seen as a test for Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, the Labour leader faces potential fresh calls to resign if results are as dire as projected. Speculation about his political survival has swirled in Westminster, but his position has been bolstered by the paralysis among his main rivals.
Health Secretary Wes Streeting is considered a frontrunner with broad support and strong communication skills, but his prospects have dimmed as the soft-left gains influence. His association with former US ambassador Peter Mandelson could harm his standing among the wider Labour membership. Streeting's allies deny he has secured enough MP backing for a challenge, and he is focusing on campaigning in his constituency.
Former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner faces an unresolved tax probe by HMRC over stamp duty on a seaside property, which could hinder a leadership bid. She may set conditions for accepting a Cabinet role, including policy changes to counter populist rises. Some MPs suggest she could form a joint ticket with Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, who has expressed desire to challenge Starmer but cannot yet.
Both the soft-left Tribune Group and the centrist Labour Growth Group are preparing policy proposals to present to Starmer after the expected poor election results, focusing on taxation and market regulation changes. The outcome of the local elections will be crucial in determining whether Starmer’s rivals can overcome these hurdles.
