Trump Approval Slips as Polls Show Warning Signs for Republicans Ahead of Midterms
Trump Approval Slips as Polls Show Warning Signs for Republicans Ahead of Midterms

A trio of recent polls indicates that public approval of Donald Trump's handling of the US economy, immigration and the Iran conflict is slipping, flashing warning signs for Republican candidates with six months to go until the midterm elections. The Reuters-Ipsos, Strength in Numbers-Verasight and AP-NORC polls placed Trump's approval rating in the mid-30s, at 36%, 35% and 33% respectively, near his lowest numbers.

The AP-NORC poll, published on Monday, found that seven in ten Americans describe the economy as poor and believe the country is heading in the wrong direction. Trump's handling of the economy fell to 30% approval, down from 38% in March, while 72% said the country is on the wrong track. Just 23% approve of his handling of the cost of living, with 76% disapproving.

A Reuters-Ipsos poll published on Wednesday found that Trump's deportation policies could harm Republicans in November: 52% of Americans said they were less likely to support a candidate who backs Trump's approach, compared to 42% who were more likely. Among independents, 57% prefer a candidate opposing Trump's deportations, while 32% support them. Approval of Trump's immigration policy has dropped from 50% in January 2025 to 40% now, following clashes between enforcement agents and protesters that resulted in two deaths in Minneapolis.

An NBC News poll found Trump's personal approval at a second-term low of 37%, with 63% disapproving. Among Republicans, 83% still approve, down 4 points from earlier this year. The poll also showed that one-third of Americans believe the country is on the right track, while two-thirds think it is on the wrong track. The economy remains the top issue for 29% of voters, followed by threats to democracy (24%), healthcare (12%) and crime (10%).

On Iran, 67% disapprove of Trump's handling of the war, with 61% saying the US should not take further military action. However, Trump and Republicans find support for voter ID and proof-of-citizenship requirements, with 75% backing government-issued photo ID and 61% supporting proof of citizenship.