In a political earthquake that could redefine Britain's political landscape, Nigel Farage's Reform UK has surged ahead of Rishi Sunak's Conservatives for the first time in a devastating new poll.
The Techne UK survey for The Independent reveals Reform UK standing at 19%, narrowly edging past the Conservatives at 18%, while Labour maintains a commanding lead with 40% of voting intentions.
Political Upheaval as Tories Slide to Third Place
This remarkable shift represents a catastrophic moment for the Conservative Party, which now finds itself relegated to third position just weeks before the country heads to the polls. The polling data suggests a potential electoral meltdown of historic proportions for the governing party.
The numbers paint a bleak picture for Rishi Sunak: since becoming Prime Minister in October 2022, the Conservatives have seen their support collapse from 22% to their current dismal standing.
Labour's Steady Dominance
While the drama unfolds on the right, Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party remains firmly in control of the political narrative. Maintaining 40% of voting intentions, Labour appears poised to secure a significant parliamentary majority unless the political winds shift dramatically in the coming weeks.
The Liberal Democrats trail significantly with just 11% of the vote share, while the Green Party stands at 5%.
What This Means for July 4th
This unprecedented polling data comes as political parties intensify their campaigning ahead of the July 4th general election. The surge in Reform UK support suggests significant fragmentation among right-leaning voters, potentially splitting the Conservative vote and enabling Labour to secure seats with smaller vote shares.
Political analysts are describing this development as potentially the most significant realignment in British politics since the Brexit referendum, with Farage's party now positioned as a genuine disruptive force in the electoral landscape.
