Chancellor Rachel Reeves is confronting a stark economic reality ahead of her second Budget, with the nation's fiscal watchdog poised to deliver a severe blow to the government's economic ambitions.
A 'Growth Emergency' Confirmed
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is set to downgrade UK growth forecasts until 2029, according to reports. These revised projections are anticipated to be the most pessimistic the country has seen in 15 years, signalling a profound economic slowdown that the government has been unable to prevent.
This grim outlook was underscored by Business Secretary Peter Kyle, who openly admitted the UK is facing a 'growth emergency'. His comments at the CBI conference echoed the anxieties of business leaders, who are particularly concerned about the impact of high taxation on the economy.
The Brexit Impact on Treasury Coffers
Adding to the Treasury's challenges, a House of Commons library analysis has revealed a staggering financial shortfall. The analysis indicates that the economic repercussions of Brexit are costing the Treasury up to £90 billion in lost annual tax revenue.
This massive figure highlights the long-term fiscal headwinds the Chancellor must navigate as she prepares her Budget statement.
Reeves' Focus on 'Fairness' Over Growth
In a pre-Budget address to Labour MPs, Chancellor Reeves reportedly centred her speech on the theme of 'fairness'. Her priorities were outlined as cutting the cost of living, reducing NHS waiting lists, and managing debt, rather than focusing directly on economic growth.
This approach marks a significant shift in rhetoric as the government grapples with the OBR's dire warnings and the pressing need to stabilise the public finances.