In a result that has sent shockwaves through Welsh politics, Reform UK has pulled off a remarkable victory in a Caerphilly council by-election, overturning Labour's long-standing dominance in the area.
The Bedwas, Trethomas and Machen ward, previously a Labour stronghold, fell to Reform UK candidate David Rees, who secured 444 votes compared to Labour's 380. The Conservative candidate trailed with just 53 votes, while Plaid Cymru received 47 and the Liberal Democrats 31.
A Dramatic Political Shift
The victory represents a stunning 25.5% swing from Labour to Reform UK, suggesting significant voter dissatisfaction in what should be safe territory for Sir Keir Starmer's party. The seat had been held by Labour's Anne Blackman since 2022, who resigned due to health reasons.
This isn't the first indication of Reform UK's growing influence in the region. The party previously finished second in the Caerphilly constituency during July's general election, pushing the Conservatives into third place.
What This Means for Welsh Politics
The result signals potential trouble for Labour in its traditional Welsh heartlands. While Labour maintains control of Caerphilly County Borough Council, this by-election loss to a party that positioned itself as the main challenger will undoubtedly cause concern among Labour strategists.
The outcome suggests that Reform UK is successfully positioning itself as the primary alternative to Labour in certain parts of Wales, potentially reshaping the political landscape in regions that have historically supported left-leaning parties.
Political analysts will be watching closely to see if this represents a temporary protest vote or indicates a more fundamental realignment in Welsh politics ahead of future elections.
