Bank of England Set for Fourth Rate Cut to 3.75% as Inflation Falls
Bank of England tipped to cut interest rates to 3.75%

The Bank of England is poised to deliver a fresh boost to borrowers this Thursday, with financial markets and analysts widely anticipating a cut to its base interest rate.

Anticipated Rate Reduction on the Cards

The central bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is tipped to reduce the rate from 4 per cent to 3.75 per cent. If confirmed, this would mark the fourth consecutive cut this year, a significant shift in policy aimed at stimulating the economy.

The decision, expected on Thursday 18 December 2025, follows encouraging news on the inflation front. Official data showed the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 3.2 per cent in November, reaching an eight-month low. This decline was largely driven by falling prices for food and drink.

Economic Context Behind the Move

The move to lower borrowing costs comes against a backdrop of mixed economic signals. While inflation is retreating, other indicators point to challenges. The UK economy has shown signs of contraction, and unemployment figures have been rising, adding pressure on the Bank to act.

A reduction to 3.75 per cent would bring the base rate to its lowest level since February 2023. This trajectory suggests a sustained effort to ease the financial burden on households and businesses after a prolonged period of higher rates.

What This Means for Homeowners and the Future

For millions of homeowners, particularly those on tracker or variable-rate mortgages, a rate cut would mean an immediate reduction in their monthly repayments. It also signals cheaper borrowing costs more broadly.

Looking ahead, City analysts are already predicting that this will not be the end of the easing cycle. Further interest rate reductions are forecast for 2026, as the Bank of England continues to navigate the path towards its 2 per cent inflation target while supporting economic growth.

The final decision, and the MPC's accompanying statement analysing the economic outlook, will be scrutinised for hints about the pace and scale of future monetary policy moves.