Fremantle Dockers are riding a wave of hype after a stunning victory over Sydney, and history suggests they have the power and poise to go all the way to an AFL premiership. Josh Treacy kicked four goals in the win, which saw Fremantle pile on 100 points in the second half after a goalless first half. The question for Fremantle fans is whether to believe or remain cautious, given the club's past heartbreaks.
Historical Context of Strong Seasons
Since 2000, only seven teams have been in as strong a position as the Dockers at this point of the season. Of those, three won the premiership and three lost the grand final. The only team to miss the grand final was the 2015 Dockers, who lost just two games after round 18 but fell in a preliminary final to Hawthorn. That match featured a critical moment when Cyril Rioli forced a turnover from Tommy Sheridan, leading to a goal that ended Fremantle's era.
Comparison to 2015 Dockers
The 2015 Dockers, led by Matthew Pavlich and coach Ross Lyon, were a powerhouse but failed to reach the grand final. Pavlich, now running the Sydney Swans, watched last week's clash from a business class recliner. Despite Fremantle's inaccuracy in the first half—prompting coach Justin Longmuir to smash phones—they rallied to dominate the second half. Longmuir emphasized process over panic, saying, "It's about maintaining faith in the process."
Strengths and Weaknesses
This Dockers side differs from Lyon's era with their ability to score quickly. They can be slow out of the gates and vulnerable in defense, but they have multiple comeback performances to draw on. The team's resilience was on display against Sydney, where they turned a deficit into a 100-point half. Longmuir's low-key demeanor provides a counterbalance to the hype surrounding the team.
Path to Premiership
Fremantle are now premiership favourites, with a home final likely. They will need to draw on their experience of mounting comebacks in high-pressure situations. The club's last premiership remains elusive, but this team has the tools to break through. As the season progresses, all eyes will be on whether the Dockers can convert their potential into a flag.
