In a surprisingly comfortable position, the Scotland national football team stands on the cusp of automatic qualification for next year's World Cup. The squad is already guaranteed at least a place in the play-offs, freeing them to make a direct, and relatively stress-free, push for the top prize: first place in their group.
The Path to Automatic Qualification
Securing that coveted top spot and an automatic ticket to the finals for the first time since 1998 is now a tangible goal. The equation is clear for Steve Clarke's side. Assuming group leaders Denmark defeat Belarus in their fixture, Scotland needs to come away from Greece with at least a point, and then follow that up with a victory over the Danes at Hampden Park on Tuesday. While a tough challenge, it is far from an impossible dream.
The current Group F table illustrates the tight race:
- 1. Denmark - P4 W3 D1 L0 F12 A1 Pts10
- 2. Scotland - P4 W1 D1 L0 F7 A2 Pts10
- 3. Greece - P4 W1 D0 L3 F7 A10 Pts3
- 4. Belarus - P4 W0 D0 L4 F2 A15 Pts0
Navigating the Greek Challenge
The immediate hurdle is an away match against a Greek side that is already mathematically out of the running. This leaves their mindset as the great unknown; they could either be disinterested or play with a carefree, expressive style. Seasoned Scotland supporters may have their suspicions about which scenario is more likely, but recent history offers cause for optimism.
Although Greece delivered a heavy defeat to the Scots at Hampden earlier this year in the Nations League play-offs, Steve Clarke's team won the first leg of that tie in Piraeus. More recently, in these World Cup qualifiers, Scotland came from behind to secure a victory against Greece at Hampden last month. Winning two of the last three encounters against this opponent is a record that breeds confidence.
Beyond the Automatic Spot: The Play-Off Safety Net
The fall-back option of the play-offs presents its own daunting challenges. The presence of Italy in that pathway is enough to give any Scotland fan pause, conjuring nightmares of a narrow home victory followed by a late, heartbreaking collapse in the return leg.
However, that is a bridge to be crossed only if necessary. For now, the focus remains squarely on the immediate opportunity. Automatic qualification is firmly in Scotland's sight, and the first major test is tonight's clash in Greece. Kick-off is at 7.45pm GMT.