EFL Final Day: Promotion, Relegation, and Play-Off Permutations Explained
EFL Final Day: All You Need to Know for Promotion and Relegation

It is that time of the year for pitch invasions, parades, and tears, and as we approach the final day of the EFL season, several teams have plenty on the line. Saturday promises to be a bumper afternoon, with the Championship kicking off at 12:30 PM, followed by League One and League Two at 3 PM. Daily Mail Sport has compiled a guide to everything you need to know ahead of the final day regarding promotion and relegation, along with the permutations facing each team.

Championship

Promotion

Coventry City have already been promoted as champions, but three teams are locked in a battle to join them.

Ipswich Town (2nd, 81 points, GD +30) vs QPR (H)

Kieran McKenna's side are a very different team to the one that went up two years ago when they scored nearly 100 goals and racked up 96 points. The Tractor Boys are not as gung-ho, yet they still possess a squad full of quality, most notably in attacking stars Jaden Philogene and Jack Clarke. If they beat 14th-placed QPR, they are up. If they draw, they need to hope Millwall do not beat Oxford and that Middlesbrough do not win by six goals. If they lose, Millwall and Middlesbrough could overtake them.

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Millwall (3rd, 80 points, GD +13) vs Oxford (H)

After narrowly missing out on the play-offs in three of the last four seasons, Alex Neil's men have secured at least a top-six spot after an impressive year built on the division's best away record. If they beat already-relegated Oxford and Ipswich fail to win, they are up. If they draw, their significantly inferior goal difference gives them no hope, and Middlesbrough could overtake them.

Middlesbrough (4th, 79 points, GD +25) vs Wrexham (A)

Middlesbrough have taken 49 points in 28 matches since unheralded Swedish coach Kim Hellberg replaced Rob Edwards in late November, but costly home defeats by Portsmouth and Millwall have left them relying on others. If they beat Wrexham, they need to hope Ipswich lose and Millwall fail to win. If they win and Ipswich draw, they need to win by at least six goals to overturn the goal difference deficit and also hope Millwall fail to win.

Play-Offs

Two of Ipswich, Millwall, and Middlesbrough will be in the play-offs, along with fifth-placed Southampton, but three teams are fighting for the final spot.

Wrexham (6th, 70 points, GD +4) vs Middlesbrough (H)

In the latest chapter of the Hollywood story, Wrexham are guaranteed to finish in their highest league position ever, and director Shaun Harvey has declared the season a success whatever happens. If they win, they just need to match Hull's margin of victory due to goal difference. If they draw, they have to hope Hull and Derby fail to win. If they lose, they will have to hope Hull and Derby also lose.

Hull City (7th, 70 points, GD +3) vs Norwich (H)

Getting to this position is an achievement in itself given Hull were handed a three-window transfer fee embargo last summer, reduced to two on appeal, but Sergej Jakirovic's side have been driven on by the goals of a resurgent Oli McBurnie and loanee Joe Gelhardt. If they win and Wrexham do, they need to better the Welsh side's margin of victory by one to overturn the goal difference deficit. They have scored more goals so would finish higher. If they win and Wrexham fail to, they will overtake them. If they draw, they require Wrexham to lose and Derby to fail to win.

Derby County (8th, 69 points, GD +9) vs Sheffield United (H)

John Eustace has shown once again what an underrated Championship manager he is, and Sammie Szmodics, Ben Brereton Diaz, and Carlton Morris bring attacking pedigree after Patrick Agyemang's season-ending injury. If they win and Wrexham and Hull both fail to, they will finish in the top six. If they draw and their rivals both lose, they will finish above them on goal difference.

At the bottom, Oxford United, Leicester City, and Sheffield Wednesday are already relegated to League One.

League One

Lincoln City and Cardiff have confirmed their place in the Championship for next season, while Bolton have a spot in the play-offs, but five teams are competing for the final three places.

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Play-Offs

Stockport County (4th, 74 points, GD +11) vs Barnsley (A)

Stockport finished in the play-offs last season after two promotions in three seasons before that, but their form has been inconsistent in recent months and a defensive injury crisis has not helped, with 19-goal top scorer Kyle Wotton currently filling in at centre back. A draw will guarantee them a spot in the play-offs. If they lose, Stevenage and Luton must win and Bradford have to at least draw to deny them a top-six place.

Bradford City (5th, 74 points, GD +6) vs Exeter (A)

Graham Alexander has done an incredible job with Bradford, who were only promoted from League Two last season, although they are staggering over the line with three points from their past four games. A draw will guarantee them a spot in the play-offs. If they lose, Stevenage and Luton must win to deny them a spot.

Stevenage (6th, 72 points, GD +2) vs Wigan (H)

The fact Stevenage are even in the play-off conversation is incredible given they remain one of the smallest clubs in League One, but Alex Revell has built a side with a unique spirit and a watertight defence. A win will guarantee a spot in the play-offs. A draw will only be enough if Luton and Plymouth both do not win. If they lose, Luton must also be beaten and Plymouth have to fail to win.

Luton (7th, 71 points, GD +11) vs Bolton (A)

After a season hampered by inconsistency, Luton have hit their straps in the spring, winning seven of their last nine league games along with the EFL Trophy, which gave Jack Wilshere his first managerial title. If Luton win and Stevenage, Bradford, or Stockport lose, they will finish in the top six. If they win and Stevenage do not, they will overtake their local rivals, irrespective of what Bradford and Stockport do. If they draw and Plymouth fail to win and Stevenage lose, they will also secure a play-off spot.

Plymouth (8th, 70 points, GD +11) vs Northampton (A)

A disastrous start to the season left Plymouth bottom after 15 games, but their faith in boss Tom Cleverley has paid dividends, with the Pilgrims taking 57 points from the subsequent 30 matches. Plymouth must win and hope both Stevenage and Luton fail to do so in order to finish in the top six.

Relegation

Northampton Town, Rotherham, and Port Vale have already been relegated, but the final team to drop to League Two will be either Exeter City or Leyton Orient.

Leyton Orient (20th, 51 points, GD -12) vs Burton Albion (H)

Having lost in the play-off final last season, it has been a dreadful season for Leyton Orient despite having the division's top scorer Dom Ballard. Boss Richie Wellens is also serving a touchline ban for the final game. Leyton Orient will be safe unless Exeter win, in which case they will likely have to as well given their goal difference.

Exeter City (21st, 49 points, GD -8) vs Bradford City (H)

When boss Gary Caldwell left for Wigan in February, Exeter were 13th, but they have taken just 10 points from the subsequent 15 games despite having Jayden Wareham's 19 goals in their ranks. Exeter must win, but if Leyton Orient do too they will be relegated regardless.

League Two

Milton Keynes and Bromley have already secured promotion, but three teams are fighting it out for third place.

Promotion

Cambridge United (3rd, 81 points, GD +33) vs Crewe Alexandra (A)

Neil Harris is hoping to lead Cambridge back to League One at the first attempt after being powered on by the league's tightest defence (by 11 goals) and former Man City youngster Ben Knight. If they equal or better the results of Salford and Notts County, they will go up. If they draw and Salford fail to win, they should finish above Notts County on goal difference whatever happens. If they lose, they will hope neither Salford nor Notts County win.

Salford City (4th, 80 points, GD +10) vs Crawley Town (A)

Seven years after reaching the EFL, Salford finally have a team competing at the top of League Two. Although they are no longer owned by the Class of 92, Gary Neville and David Beckham remain involved and will be desperate for their side to go up under boss Karl Robinson. Salford have to win and hope Cambridge fail to do so, with their goal difference significantly inferior to the Us.

Notts County (5th, 79 points, GD +22) vs Bristol Rovers (H)

For a second successive season, Notts County can be promoted automatically on the final day, and in a tight game the combined 29 goals of Matthew Dennis and Alassana Jatta could be key. Notts County must win and rely on Cambridge and Salford drawing or losing.

Play-Offs

Two of Cambridge, Salford, and Notts County will have to settle for a play-off shootout, and they will be joined by Grimsby, who are guaranteed a place. Barnet are just two points off seventh but cannot make it because the two teams either side of the play-off line are playing each other.

Chesterfield (7th, 76 points, GD +14) vs Swindon (8th, 75 points, GD +12)

It could not be set up much better, with Ian Holloway's Swindon hosting Paul Cook's Chesterfield. The Spireites have given themselves a chance thanks to a superb run at the end of the season, unbeaten in seven with five wins in that time. Holloway, meanwhile, admitted this week that the wheels have come off for his side, with just one win in six as they limp towards the line. The equation is simple: Swindon must beat Chesterfield at home to reach the play-offs; Chesterfield know a draw will be enough.

Relegation

Barrow are almost certain to be relegated barring an enormous goal difference swing following a tumultuous season that has seen the club have five managers, but one of Tranmere Rovers, Newport County, Crawley Town, or Harrogate Town will join them.

Tranmere Rovers (20th, 40 points, GD -25) vs Grimsby Town (H)

Tranmere fans will be counting their lucky stars that their situation is not worse given they have taken just eight points from their past 21 games, but they remain one point clear of the relegation zone. Tranmere will stay up if they match the result of Newport, Crawley, or Harrogate and do not experience a big hit to their goal difference. If they lose, they will hope Harrogate do not win, and Newport and Crawley do not at least draw.

Newport County (21st, 40 points, GD -30) vs Barrow (A)

Leicester City title-winner Christian Fuchs is close to completing a great escape having taken over in November with Newport bottom of the table. Their victory over Oldham last week came in the 18th minute of added time. Newport must at least match the result of Crawley or Harrogate. If Crawley and Harrogate win and Newport draw, they will overtake Tranmere if the Wirral-based side are beaten.

Crawley Town (22nd, 39 points, GD -24) vs Salford City (H)

Former globetrotting forward Colin Kazim-Richards, who played for 18 clubs across eight countries, took charge last month and has picked up eight points from six games, but the battle for Crawley to avoid successive relegations has gone to the wire. Crawley need to match the result of Harrogate. They could overtake Newport and Tranmere with a win if those sides do not. A draw could take the Red Devils above Newport and Tranmere on goal difference.

Harrogate Town (23rd, 39 points, GD -28) vs Barnet (H)

The EFL's longest-serving manager Simon Weaver (16 years and 342 days) has kept Harrogate, who are owned by his father Irving, in League Two for five seasons, but they have never been closer to the drop than now. If Harrogate win and one of their three rivals does not, they will stay up. A draw could take them above Crawley if they lose or Newport or Tranmere on goal difference if those sides suffer defeat. A defeat would only keep them up if Crawley suffered a significantly heavier loss.