The Philippines has ramped up its patrols in the disputed South China Sea as China prepares to enforce new regulations from Saturday, allowing its coast guard to detain foreigners accused of trespassing for up to 60 days without trial. Manila has described the move as an escalation, with President Ferdinand Marcos Jr warning that any Filipino killed by a wilful act would be close to an act of war.
China claims nearly 90% of the South China Sea, a vital trade route, despite a 2016 international tribunal ruling rejecting its claims. The Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan have overlapping claims. The new law, which applies to 'maritime areas under Chinese jurisdiction' without clear definition, has raised concerns over potential miscalculations that could spark conflict.
Philippine navy spokesperson Roy Vincent Trinidad confirmed increased patrols and cooperation with allies to protect fishing communities, who fear detention but rely on the sea for their livelihoods. China's foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning stated the regulations aim to standardise law enforcement and maintain order, assuring that those not doing anything illicit have no cause for concern.
Analysts view the law as a form of 'lawfare' intended to intimidate, but note its vague wording and the risks of active enforcement. Collin Koh from the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies warned that clashes during apprehensions could trigger the US-Philippines mutual defence treaty, raising the risk of armed conflict. The Philippines is also considering a new legal challenge against China over environmental damage in its exclusive economic zone.
