London’s secondary schools are experiencing a significant decline in applications, with 4,000 fewer children applying for Year 7 places this September compared to last year. The fall mirrors a trend seen in primary schools, attributed by London Councils to a declining birthrate, changing migration patterns, and the effects of Brexit.
On national offer day, figures revealed that 70% of families in London received their first-choice school, below the national average of over 80%. In contrast, areas like East Yorkshire saw 97% of families get their first preference, while York and Oxfordshire recorded 94% and 88% respectively.
London’s 32 boroughs collectively saw a 2.5% drop in secondary applications to 90,300. London Councils forecasts a further 4.3% decline over the next four years, equivalent to 4,040 places or roughly 134 classes. Other major authorities, such as Birmingham and Essex, reported stable or slightly higher application numbers.
Ian Edwards, London Councils’ executive member for children and young people, stated that boroughs have worked diligently to ensure sufficient places despite falling rolls. He noted that London’s population has always fluctuated, but it is difficult to predict when the birthrate will recover. He emphasised the need to avoid losing vital school assets that may be needed in the future.
The falling numbers are likely to squeeze school budgets, potentially leading to narrowed curricula, fewer after-school clubs, or reduced teaching and support staff. A Department for Education spokesperson said delivering good quality school places remains a top priority.
Parents who did not receive their first choice are advised not to panic. They can join waiting lists for other schools, even if they accept another offer, as movement often occurs up to September. Research shows a significant increase in children getting a place at their first or higher preference after offer day.
