A leading weather expert has issued a stark warning that the UK faces a relentless 20-day deluge of rain in the run-up to Christmas, with the Met Office already activating amber-level alerts for dangerous conditions.
Atlantic Systems Set to Batter the UK
Jim Dale, a senior meteorologist at British Weather Services, predicts a series of wet weather systems will sweep in from the Atlantic, dominating the forecast until around December 20. He states the persistent low-pressure systems will bring "copious amounts of rain", particularly targeting western regions of the country.
"The next 20 days look to be predominantly Atlantic driven, low pressure driven," Dale explained. He highlighted that western areas, including Wales, western England, and north-west England, are expected to see much above average rainfall. The intensity is likely to lessen progressively further east.
Flooding and Travel Disruption Feared
The forecast downpours pose a significant risk of flooding and treacherous driving conditions. Dale urged the public, especially in western regions, to pay close attention to rising river levels and exercise caution on the roads from today onward.
He described the pattern as "aggravated rain," where each successive rainfall event becomes more concerning due to saturated ground. The conditions will also be accompanied by strong, developing winds, exacerbating the potential for disruption.
Dale anticipates further weather warnings will be issued, stating, "As time goes on I think we're going to see more amber and yellow warnings, and potentially a red if it gets bad enough."
Met Office Issues 'Danger to Life' Warning
This expert analysis follows a rare amber weather warning from the Met Office for parts of South Wales, effective from December 1. The national forecaster has warned of a "danger to life" from fast-flowing or deep floodwater.
In their statement, the Met Office forecast 20-40mm of rain widely, with 60-80mm likely over south-facing high ground in south Wales. Some isolated spots could see accumulations nearing 100-120mm. The heavy rain also increases the risk of landslides.
Jim Dale attributes the severe outlook to a combination of typical winter patterns and the broader influence of climate change. His advice to the public is simple: to be exceptionally "careful" during this prolonged period of severe weather.