Andy Burnham's decisive by-election victory in Makerfield has thrown the Labour Party into a leadership crisis, with Keir Starmer facing mounting pressure to step down. Burnham, who will return to Parliament next week after nearly a decade, has made clear his leadership ambitions, and his allies are calling for an orderly transition.
Burnham's Victory Rally
In a victory speech, Burnham declared, "We've been on a path for 40 years that simply hasn't worked for people and places in this part of the world. This is the change moment." He emphasized the opportunity to turn the tide and restore hope in politics.
Pressure on Starmer
Former Transport Secretary Louise Haigh, a key Burnham ally, urged Starmer to reflect on the result and consider his position to avoid an "unpleasant" leadership contest. The Mirror explores potential scenarios.
Scenario 1: Burnham's Coronation
Burnham's allies want Starmer to announce his resignation over the weekend, setting a timetable for departure. This could be accelerated if the Cabinet, which has remained loyal, tells Starmer the game is up. However, a coronation requires no other challengers. Wes Streeting, former Health Secretary, has insisted he would stand, calling for a "battle of ideas." If Streeting and Burnham reach a deal, Burnham could enter No10 without a contest.
Scenario 2: Starmer Fights On
Starmer appeared defiant, insisting he has a five-year mandate from the 2024 election. He plans to talk with Burnham but may refuse to outline his departure. If he digs in, a leadership challenge is likely. Starmer stated, "If there is a contest, I will stand. I am not going to walk away." This would lead to a messy internal battle.
Scenario 3: Leadership Contest Triggered
A contest requires a vacancy or 20% of MPs (81) nominating a challenger. Streeting or Burnham could trigger it soon. As incumbent, Starmer would be on the ballot. A summer contest could become a bloodbath, with public rows over the party's direction, reminiscent of Tory infighting. Burnham's team wants to avoid this.
How Would a Leadership Race Work?
Under Labour rules, candidates need 20% of MP nominations. The NEC would decide the timing, likely with hustings over summer. The result could be announced before the September conference. A winner needs over 50% of first preferences. However, Harriet Harman warned against a "protracted" contest, suggesting MPs alone should decide to speed up the process, which would require NEC approval.
