The Met Office has confirmed when 'hot spells' will return to the UK, forecasting that temperatures could become 'very warm' again by the start of August. After a recent heatwave that saw temperatures exceeding 30C in Merseyside, this week has cooled down with a peak of 23C, but the hot weather is set to return.
Long-Range Forecast for August
According to the Met Office's long-range weather forecast, temperatures will very likely remain 'above normal' during August, with potential for further 'hot spells' particularly in the south. Higher pressure is generally more likely than lower pressure throughout the month, meaning 'settled and dry' weather will be likely, especially across the south.
While northern parts of the UK may still experience rain at times, the dry and warm conditions are expected to extend northwards. Although most areas may see dry weather for much of the period, occasional summertime thunderstorms are possible.
Shorter-Term Outlook for the North West
Looking at the shorter term, the North West is set for a mostly dry and bright weekend, though cloud and light rain have been seen in parts of the region today (Saturday July 18). Cloud will gradually start to break with sunshine and light winds expected later in the day, with a maximum temperature of around 21C.
The end of the day will see some late evening sunshine, staying dry overnight with clear skies at first, but cloudier later. It will be a cool night for many, with a minimum temperature of 10C. Cloudy skies are likely at first during Sunday morning, but quickly turning sunny by lunchtime with blue skies and light winds. The maximum temperature is predicted to be 22C.
Monday to Wednesday will stay largely dry with sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud. A few spots of rain are possible at times where the cloud thickens. Temperatures will be around the seasonal average, the Met Office says.
Climate Change Context
Speaking on the general trend of extreme weather seen so far this summer, climate information scientist Mike Kendon said: '...areas like the Vale of York and Lancashire now [have] similar annual temperatures to those experienced by Greater London in 1961-1990. In the south east we are seeing the emergence of new warmer climates, while in our northern upland areas we are losing the climatologically coldest habitats from the tops of our mountains. Our climate is on the move – literally.'
