The prospect of a landmark UK-US trade deal, once a flagship ambition of post-Brexit Britain, appears to be receding as former President Donald Trump prepares for a state visit. Downing Street has significantly downplayed expectations for any imminent agreement, signalling a major shift in diplomatic priorities.
Official sources now indicate that securing a comprehensive free trade agreement is not a primary objective for the government during the high-profile visit. This marks a stark departure from the optimism that characterised earlier negotiations, which have been stalled for years.
Political Hurdles and Protectionist Policies
The challenges are multifaceted. Across the Atlantic, a bipartisan consensus on protectionism has made Congress increasingly hesitant to approve new trade deals. This political reality, coupled with the specific complexities of the UK-EU Northern Ireland Protocol, has created a formidable barrier.
Furthermore, Trump's own America First agenda and his threats to impose steep tariffs on trading partners have cast a long shadow over the negotiations. The UK's strategy has consequently pivoted towards seeking smaller, sector-specific agreements rather than one overarching deal.
A Shift in Diplomatic Focus
Instead of trade, the Sunak government is expected to emphasise broader diplomatic and defence alliances. The focus will likely be on reinforcing support for Ukraine and discussing collaborative efforts in areas like artificial intelligence, where the UK is seeking to establish itself as a global leader.
This pragmatic approach suggests a recognition that the once-coveted trade deal is now politically unfeasible in the current climate. The state visit will therefore serve more as a reinforcement of the 'special relationship' rather than a platform for a major economic announcement.
