Sainsbury's has issued a stark warning that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran, will significantly impact both its customers and business operations, potentially leading to a notable fall in profits. The UK's second-largest grocery chain has echoed the cautious message delivered just last week by its largest rival, Tesco, highlighting growing concerns across the retail sector.
Cost of Living Pressures Intensify
Simon Roberts, Sainsbury's chief executive, observed that shoppers have become even more focused on the cost of living since the conflict escalated at the end of February. He stressed that the retailer is firmly committed to ensuring customers receive the best possible value during these challenging times. Roberts emphasised that more and more customers are choosing Sainsbury's for their shopping, trusting the brand to deliver great value consistently.
Uncertain Impact on Business Performance
While an impact from the conflict is expected, the company stated that its duration and extent remain very uncertain. Sainsbury's has projected underlying operating profits of between £975 million and £1.075 billion for the current financial year, reflecting this cautious outlook. This warning comes as the retailer reported a £1.025 billion underlying operating profit for the year to February 28, which represents a slight decline of 1.1 per cent compared to the previous year.
Mixed Financial Results Amid Challenges
Despite the profit warning, Sainsbury's revealed some positive financial indicators. Pre-tax profits jumped by an impressive 55.3 per cent to £393 million for the year. Group revenues, excluding VAT, rose by 2.7 per cent to £33.6 billion, while retail sales excluding fuel increased by 4.3 per cent. This growth was primarily driven by a strong 5.2 per cent rise in grocery sales, supported by robust volume growth across product categories.
Argos Business Shows Modest Growth
The company also reported that sales in its Argos business grew by 0.7 per cent to £4.1 billion for the year, demonstrating resilience in its non-grocery operations. However, the overall message from management remains focused on the potential headwinds created by geopolitical tensions and their effect on consumer spending patterns.
Roberts concluded by reinforcing the company's commitment to value, stating: The conflict in the Middle East means customers are even more focused on the cost of living and we are absolutely committed to making sure everyone gets the best possible value when they shop with us. This sentiment reflects the broader retail industry's response to economic uncertainty, as businesses navigate the complex interplay between global events and local consumer behaviour.



