The Met Office has issued its long-range forecast for November, indicating a return to more unsettled conditions in the latter half of the month, with the potential for stronger winds and heavier rainfall. However, Bonfire Night on November 5 is currently expected to be largely cloudy but dry for most areas.
Mixed Outlook for November
According to the Met Office, the second half of November brings an increasing chance of changeable or more unsettled conditions, with spells of rain and the potential for strong winds at times. The exact location of the wettest and windiest weather remains uncertain, with northern and western areas generally most favoured, though there is a chance the wettest conditions could become more focused across southern parts for a time.
Temperatures are likely to be near or above average for much of the period, although colder interludes remain possible, perhaps more especially later in the period.
Week Ahead for Wales
For the week ahead, the weather forecast for Wales is quieter, with a daily bright start for many leading into patchy clouds and sunny spells through Tuesday. Temperatures are likely to be between 9 and 12 degrees, around average for this time of year in Wales.
From Wednesday through to Friday, variable cloud with sunny spells is expected, with light showers where cloud thickens. Winds will strengthen through Wednesday, with stronger gusts along southern coastlines.
Bonfire Night and Beyond
On Bonfire Night, Thursday, November 5, the weather across Wales is expected to turn largely cloudy, perhaps with a small chance of the odd spot of drizzle in places, with moderate winds.
From Friday, a ridge of high pressure dominates the UK, resulting in a mix of heavy cloud, fog patches in the north, windy conditions in the south, and the possibility of light drizzle for some areas. This estimated two-week period then flows into the final fortnight of the month, bringing more unsettled conditions with a higher expectation of increased rainfall and potentially strong winds.
