Graham Price: Wales must make two key selection changes to carry a threat
Wales must make two key selection changes: Graham Price

Graham Price has called for two key selection changes in the Wales midfield and back three after their 35-21 defeat to Argentina in San Juan, as they prepare to face South Africa. The former Wales prop believes the current setup lacks the go-forward ball needed to challenge the Springboks' formidable defence.

Wales' encouraging start undone by Argentina's physical dominance

There was no disgrace in Wales leaving San Juan empty-handed. Argentina have developed into one of the most accomplished sides in world rugby and, on home soil, they are capable of testing even the very best. Their 35-21 victory was built not on moments of brilliance alone, but on their ability to control the contest for long periods and capitalise whenever opportunities arose.

Wales could hardly have wished for a better start, with Dewi Lake crossing early to give the visitors genuine hope. They looked organised, composed and full of purpose, and for the opening quarter matched Argentina physically and tactically. However, Test matches are won over 80 minutes, not 20. Once the Pumas found their rhythm, the momentum shifted decisively and Wales were never quite able to wrestle it back.

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The disappointment was not so much the result as the manner in which the game gradually slipped from their grasp after such an encouraging opening. As the contest developed, Argentina asserted themselves through relentless pressure, control at the breakdown and an ability to dictate both territory and the pace of the game. Wales spent increasing amounts of time inside their own half, absorbing wave after wave of pressure and using valuable energy simply trying to stay in the contest.

Missed tackles and clinical execution separate the sides

The decisive factor was Argentina's physical dominance. Once the game settled into its rhythm, the Pumas consistently won the collisions, made significant inroads with ball in hand and repeatedly stretched the Welsh defence. Wales, by contrast, found themselves chasing the game, with 22 missed tackles during the opening half illustrating just how difficult they found it to contain the home side. At this level, allowing opponents that much front foot ball is rarely a recipe for success.

One encouraging aspect was the commitment shown throughout the Welsh side. There was no questioning the work rate or willingness to put bodies on the line, even after Argentina had established control. Wales continued to compete, finished with three well-worked tries and never allowed their heads to drop. Rhys Carré and Ben Warren were rewarded with second-half scores, reflecting the resilience and character that remained evident until the final whistle.

Ultimately, however, the difference came down to execution. Argentina were clinical whenever Wales made mistakes, while the visitors too often surrendered valuable field position through avoidable penalties and were unable to convert sustained pressure into enough points. At Test level, those margins invariably prove decisive.

Learning process ahead of South Africa challenge

Against a side as accomplished as Argentina, an encouraging start counts for little unless it is supported by discipline, accuracy at the breakdown and a defensive effort capable of withstanding prolonged periods of pressure. Those are qualities that develop through experience, and Wales are continuing to expose a number of younger players to the demands of elite international rugby. Hopefully, the lessons learned in San Juan should prove invaluable as this squad continues to evolve.

Wales must become more composed when matches begin to drift away from them, placing greater emphasis on controlling possession, managing territory and avoiding the needless penalties that create pressure. Argentina demonstrated the consistency, accuracy and physical control that Wales need to achieve in order to compete with the world's leading nations. This defeat should therefore be viewed as part of the learning process rather than a backward step.

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Wales will hope the lessons learned in Argentina stand them in good stead for the formidable challenge that lies ahead against South Africa. There are few sterner examinations in world rugby, and any meeting with the Springboks quickly reveals whether a side is making genuine strides or merely showing signs of promise. It demands discipline, composure and unwavering concentration for the full 80 minutes because South Africa have established themselves as the benchmark of the modern game.

South Africa's relentless physicality and set-piece mastery

Their success continues to be built on immense forward power, relentless physicality and an uncompromising set piece that provides the platform for everything they do. What makes the Springboks so formidable is their ability to wear opponents down. They dominate the gain line, pressurise teams through the scrum and line-out, and are utterly ruthless whenever cheap possession or territory is handed to them. At their best, they do not simply overpower sides. They dictate every aspect of the contest until mistakes become inevitable.

For Wales, the challenge is to remain competitive without allowing the game to develop entirely on South Africa's terms. Discipline will be paramount. Cheap penalties, inaccurate kicking and poor ball retention are quickly punished against the world's best side. The set piece will therefore assume enormous importance. The scrum and line-out must provide a dependable platform, while the back row will have a crucial role in slowing South Africa's ball at the breakdown and disrupting the continuity that allows their powerful carriers to build momentum.

One area where Wales deserve genuine credit is the improvement in their set piece during the opening two matches of the championship. Both the scrum and, in particular, the line-out have provided the solid platform every Test side requires, giving Wales quality possession and enabling them to build pressure in the right areas of the field. The driving line-out has been especially effective, creating several genuine try-scoring opportunities and allowing Wales to convert territorial pressure into points.

Driving maul test against the masters

However, Wales should be under no illusions that they have discovered a new formula. Driving mauls have become an integral part of modern Test rugby, and Saturday brings the ultimate examination against the side that has perfected the art. If anyone doubts the importance South Africa place on the driving line-out, they need only look at Malcolm Marx. The Springbok hooker has scored 27 Test tries, the overwhelming majority from close-range driving mauls. That is no accident. South Africa have spent years refining every aspect of this phase of play, from the accuracy of the throw and the organisation of the maul to the timing and discipline needed to finish the opportunity. Wales have made significant strides in this area, but Saturday will reveal just how much progress has been made.

How successfully Wales compete with the Springboks at the scrum and line-out, while preventing their maul from becoming the dominant force it so often is, will go a long way towards determining whether Wales can remain competitive throughout the contest. Territory will be equally significant. Wales cannot expect to spend prolonged periods defending inside their own half and still emerge with a positive result. Intelligent kicking, composed game management and sound decision-making from the half-backs will be essential if they are to force South Africa to launch attacks from deeper positions rather than repeatedly playing inside the Welsh 22.

Depth contrast and the need for midfield changes

None of this is easy to achieve, particularly against the world champions on their own ground. History has shown that attempting to outmuscle South Africa over 80 minutes is rarely successful. There is also a pragmatic way of viewing South Africa's team selection. Several of the names may be unfamiliar to supporters outside the country, but that should never be mistaken for weakness. The Springboks have exceptional depth, with players developed within the same high-performance system and capable of slotting seamlessly into an established game plan. Whoever wears the jersey understands precisely what is expected. The contrast with Wales is striking. Strength in depth is no longer a luxury we possess. South Africa can rotate players without noticeably weakening the side because their systems and player development ensure replacements slot seamlessly into the team. Wales are simply not in that position at present.

For that reason, I see little value in making changes to the forward pack. The scrum and line-out have functioned well during the opening two matches, and the pack has provided a solid platform from which Wales have been able to compete.

Where I do believe changes are justified is in midfield. Wales have not consistently challenged the defensive line or generated the go-forward ball needed to bring the outside backs into the game. I would move Eddie James to inside centre, where his direct running can ask more questions of the defence, and bring Max Llewellyn into the outside-centre role. Llewellyn's physicality and ability to break the gain line would give Wales a more balanced midfield combination.

I would also make one adjustment in the back three by moving Ellis Mee to full-back. He has impressed with his assurance under the high ball and his positional play, qualities that will be severely tested against South Africa's aerial game. That switch would allow Blair Murray, arguably Wales' most elusive attacking runner, to return to the wing, where his pace and footwork can be used to greater effect. On that basis, Louis Rees-Zammit would be the player to miss out again, for me.

Against a side as well organised as South Africa, the midfield must do more than move the ball on; it has to ask questions of the defence, create momentum and generate the space that allows the back three to become genuine attacking threats.

Measuring progress against the world champions

How do you measure progress against a side like South Africa? South Africa respect teams that refuse to take a backward step, and gaining that respect would be a significant indication that Wales are moving in the right direction.