Collingwood defeated Carlton 14.6 (90) to 10.9 (69) on Saturday, crushing the Blues' hopes of securing an AFL wildcard spot. The loss, coming after a defeat to Hawthorn, exposes the gap between Carlton and the competition's middle class. Under interim coach Josh Fraser, Carlton have shed their sense of doom, but they needed this win more than any other under his tenure and were not up to the task.
Collingwood's Dominance Over Carlton Continues
Collingwood have beaten Carlton 14 of the last 16 times, including nine under coach Craig McRae. The Magpies have consistently exposed the Blues' weaknesses, forcing errors and capitalizing on pressure. On Saturday, Collingwood's defensive intensity suffocated Carlton, with players like Billy Frampton exemplifying their improved closing speed and reading of the ball. Frampton, who started 2025 in the reserves, has become a reliable key defender, filling the gap left by Darcy Moore and Jeremy Howe.
Carlton's Struggles Under Pressure
Carlton had rotten luck, with two rotations down and no ruck options, but Collingwood's relentless pressure was the deciding factor. The Magpies brought an abnormal level of pressure, devouring Blues players in space and forcing turnovers. By the final quarter, Carlton were second-guessing themselves, spoiling the ball into Magpie players' laps and conceding silly free kicks and 50-metre penalties. Collingwood are a disciplined, efficient, and well-organized team, areas where Carlton were lacking.
Collingwood's Tough Run Ahead
Despite the win, Collingwood remain a limited team. Nick Daicos spoke of being a genuine premiership contender, but even with multiple versions of him, they would not be that team. They face a tough run with Adelaide, Geelong, Hawthorn, and Brisbane to come. However, they are as honest as the day is long, and if any opponent is slightly off, Collingwood will get hold of them. The Magpies have played nine games decided by 10 points or fewer this year, losing four and drawing one, but they make their own luck through discipline and pressure.
Carlton's Path Forward
Carlton have made strides under Fraser, taking risks and blooding new talent. But Collingwood remain the obstacle, the team that stops them in their tracks every year. The Blues will not be a serious team until they can work Collingwood's locks. For now, the Magpies have once again shown Carlton where they stand in the AFL.
