The fate of England's Ashes campaign hangs by a thread as they prepare for the third Test at the Adelaide Oval, starting on Monday, 16 December 2025. Trailing 2-0 in the series, Ben Stokes's side must secure a victory to have any hope of reclaiming the urn.
Adelaide Showdown: A Mountain to Climb for England
The tourists face a monumental task at a venue where they have historically triumphed just nine times. Their prospects look even bleaker following a disappointing performance in Brisbane, where they lacked the expected resolve. The squad has been further disrupted by the departure of Mark Wood, with Josh Tongue called into the side for the Adelaide Test.
Australia, meanwhile, welcome back their captain, Pat Cummins, from injury. They also boast a formidable batting line-up in form, featuring Steve Smith, Marnus Labuschagne, and the local favourite, Travis Head. Head's record at his home ground is exceptional, averaging a staggering 79.25 in seven Tests.
Expert Betting Tips and Predictions
With the series on the line, betting analysis suggests the smart money remains on the hosts. The evidence from the tour so far points towards an Australian victory, despite England's brief moments of control in the first Test.
Main Bet: Australia to win – 3pts @ 11/21 (Unibet)
For those looking at more specific markets, several players are tipped to shine. Travis Head is a compelling pick to be Australia's top batter, given his phenomenal home record. In the bowling department, veteran spinner Nathan Lyon is highlighted as a potential match-winner. Omitted for the second Test, Lyon returns with a point to prove and an outstanding record at Adelaide Oval, where he has taken more Test wickets than any other bowler.
For England, Harry Brook is backed to finally deliver a significant score and be the tourists' top batter. Captain Ben Stokes is suggested as a value pick to be England's top bowler, with the potential for "angry wickets" given the team's precarious position.
Key Match Information and Odds
The third Test is scheduled from 16 to 21 December, with a start time of 11.30pm GMT. Coverage in the UK will be on TNT Sports 1. The current match odds from bookmakers firmly favour the home side.
Match Odds: Australia 11/21, England 5/2, Draw 12/1.
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