Britain's foremost polling expert has delivered a stark assessment of the Labour Party's future, suggesting a major leadership change may be needed before the next general election.
Starmer Lacks 'Necessary Skills', Says Top Pollster
Professor Sir John Curtice, the UK's leading pollster, has publicly questioned Sir Keir Starmer's suitability for the highest office. Curtice stated that the current Labour leader lacks the necessary skills for Downing Street and predicts a significant shift at the top of the party by 2026.
This intervention, made on Sunday 04 January 2026, adds substantial weight to growing internal debates about Labour's direction and electoral appeal.
Burnham Tipped as the 'Farage Slayer'
Sir John pinpointed the Mayor of Greater Manchester, Andy Burnham, as the figure with the best chance of keeping the influential Nigel Farage from entering Number 10. Curtice cited Burnham's extensive popularity both inside and outside the Labour Party as a critical asset in any future national contest.
This endorsement comes as Burnham has repeatedly refused to rule out a future leadership challenge, keeping Westminster speculation alive. However, Curtice was quick to acknowledge the considerable hurdle Burnham would face in needing to return to Westminster as an MP.
Other Contenders Face Scrutiny
The analysis also examined other potential successors to Starmer. Deputy Leader Angela Rayner was described as popular but potentially divisive, while Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was noted as having ministerial capabilities that are yet to be fully proven on the national stage.
Even talented figures like Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood were assessed, with Curtice expressing doubts about her ability to connect with the broader Labour electorate despite her clear skill.
A Party at a Crossroads
The comments from a figure of Curtice's stature highlight a Labour Party at a strategic crossroads. With a predicted leadership change on the horizon and the persistent challenge posed by Nigel Farage's political movement, the battle for the party's soul and its electoral strategy is intensifying.
All eyes will now be on Andy Burnham's next moves and whether he can, or will, navigate a path from Manchester's town hall back to the heart of Westminster to seize the mantle Curtice believes he is best placed to hold.
