A significant and unannounced military exercise conducted by Russian and Belarusian forces is sending ripples of apprehension across European capitals. Dubbed 'Allied Resolve 2025', the large-scale drills are taking place in western Belarus, alarmingly close to the borders of NATO members Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia.
European intelligence agencies and officials are scrutinising the movements, which bear a striking resemblance to the build-up that preceded the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The exercises incorporate a wide spectrum of capabilities, from infantry and armoured units to advanced electronic warfare systems and missile batteries, creating a potent force on the alliance's eastern flank.
A Pattern of Provocation
Analysts point out that these drills fit into a well-established pattern of Russian hybrid warfare. The activities are designed not only to test military readiness but also to probe NATO's defences, gather intelligence, and sow psychological unease. The timing, scale, and opaque nature of 'Allied Resolve' are viewed as characteristic tactics in Moscow's playbook for intimidation and destabilisation.
European Leaders Voice Deep Concern
The response from European leaders has been one of unified concern. Officials from Poland and the Baltic states have issued stern warnings, urging the international community to view the exercises as more than mere routine training. There is a growing consensus that the West must remain vigilant and not dismiss these actions as sabre-rattling.
The fear is that these drills could serve as a smokescreen for more permanent military deployments within Belarus, effectively extending Russia's strategic reach and threatening the sovereignty of neighbouring Eastern European nations. The exercises underscore a prolonged campaign of pressure that extends far beyond the battlefield in Ukraine.
A Call for Sustained Vigilance
The prevailing message from security experts is that Europe is facing a new, persistent reality of confrontation. 'Allied Resolve 2025' is seen as a stark reminder that the threat from Moscow is multifaceted and enduring. European capitals are now tasked with maintaining a long-term strategy that combines robust defence, unwavering support for Ukraine, and a firm, united front against any further acts of aggression.
