Snow is on the horizon for Scotland, with the Met Office releasing a full list of UK areas affected. Forecasters have said “wintry showers are likely” towards the second half of November, and the ECMWF model shows the first flurries could land in the early hours of November 17.
According to the data, the snow looks likely to hit Northern Ireland and western parts of Scotland before moving southward, eventually falling in England and Wales too. Maps for 6am on November 17 show some of the white stuff falling as far south as Devon.
Where snow is expected
At midday, the ECMWF model shows most of the snow will be focused around the Lake District and the North Pennines. However, the flurries aren’t expected to carry on long into the afternoon. The data suggests snow will only really settle over higher ground in Scotland.
In total, the maps suggest snow could fall in up to 34 counties across the UK on November 17. The affected areas include 20 counties in Scotland, 8 in England, 5 in Wales, and 1 in Northern Ireland.
Met Office forecast
In its forecast for November 11 to November 20, the Met Office says “wintry showers are likely” in northern areas, although “fine and dry” conditions could develop elsewhere. “A change to more changeable weather is likely” later in the month, the Met Office adds, as Atlantic frontal systems will bring “rain and some strong winds”. Temperatures are expected to be cold at the start of the period, but will “probably be above average overall”.
The Met Office forecast for November 21 to December 5 says: “Changeable or unsettled conditions are expected through the last part of November. Atlantic frontal systems are likely to spread across the UK, bringing some heavy rain at times and a chance of strong winds.” It adds: “Drier, brighter interludes are likely between systems, and it is possible conditions could become drier overall into early December. Temperatures are likely to be above normal overall.”