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Wales vs France Prediction: Six Nations Betting Insights and Rugby Odds
Can Wales deliver a Six Nations shock against France? Becky Ashton provides analysis for the match scheduled for Saturday 14 February 2026 at 18:00 GMT, with coverage on BBC One and iPlayer.
Wales vs France Betting Tips Overview
After a crushing 48-7 defeat by England in their opening game, Wales face an even tougher challenge against reigning Six Nations champions France. Wales have finished bottom of the competition for two consecutive years and have won only two of their last 24 matches. In contrast, France started their title defence with a 36-14 victory over Ireland in Paris, featuring two tries from Louis Bielle-Biarrey, who aims to be top tryscorer again.
France are strong favourites to retain the title, with England close behind. This match offers France a chance to secure maximum points and solidify their position.
Wales vs France Betting Preview: Limited Hope for Wales
France have dominated Wales, winning their last seven encounters since the 2019 Rugby World Cup. Last year, France triumphed 43-0 at the Stade de France, scoring seven tries. Wales assistant coach Matt Sherratt called their performance against England "not acceptable," but improvements seem unlikely this weekend.
Wales have lost 12 consecutive Six Nations matches, conceding 248 points and 34 tries in Steve Tandy's five games as head coach. Tandy also serves as defensive coach, a dual role that has faced criticism amid defensive struggles.
With France odds at 1/33, bettors are advised to explore handicap markets on betting apps, where a mid-30s handicap appears achievable for France.
Wales vs France Prediction 1: France -34 Handicap
France -34 handicap is available at 11/10 with Ladbrokes, reflecting their dominance and Wales' defensive vulnerabilities.
Wales vs France Best Bets: Bielle-Biarrey's Scoring Potential
Louis Bielle-Biarrey scored two tries against Ireland and could exceed that in Cardiff. He finished last year's Six Nations with eight tries in five games and is favoured to lead tryscoring again. Although odds for him to score anytime are 5/16, he scored twice against Wales in 2025, and after England's Henry Arundell's hat-trick against Wales, Bielle-Biarrey may score multiple times.
Wales vs France Prediction 2: Bielle-Biarrey to Score Two Tries or More
Bielle-Biarrey to score two or more tries is offered at 13/10 with Bet365, highlighting his threat.
Team Line-Ups for Wales vs France
Wales: Rees-Zammit; Mee, James, Hawkins, Adams; Edwards, T Williams; Carre, Lake (capt), Francis, Jenkins, Beard, Wainwright, Mann, Cracknell. Replacements: Elias, Smith, Griffin, Carter, Plumtree, Hardy, J Evans, Grady.
France: Ramos; Attissogbe, Gailleton, Brau-Boirie, Bielle-Biarrey; Jalibert, Dupont (capt); Gros, Marchand, Aldegheri, Ollivon, Guillard, Cros, Jegou, Jelonch. Replacements: Lamothe, Neti, Montagne, Flament, Meafou, Nouchi, Serin, Nene.
Free Bets for the Six Nations
BetVictor offers a Six Nations promotion: new customers can claim £40 in free bets by wagering £10 or more on rugby. To qualify, sign up, opt into the rugby welcome offer, deposit £10 or more, and bet £10 on rugby markets at evens or greater. After settlement, £40 in free bets (4 x £10 tokens) will be credited within 72 hours.
Responsible Gambling Advice
If betting on Wales vs France, gamble responsibly. Control your time and budget, whether using betting sites, casinos, or apps. Even experts can lose, so set limits and avoid chasing losses. Be cautious with free bet offers and use tools like deposit limits, loss limits, self-exclusion, and time-outs. For support, contact NHS Help, GamCare, or Gamblers Anonymous.
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