Ireland vs South Africa: Boks tipped for narrow Dublin win
Ireland vs South Africa: Boks tipped for narrow Dublin win

South Africa are favourites to claim a first victory in Dublin since 2012 when they face Ireland in the Autumn Nations Series on Saturday (5:40, TNT Sports 1 and Discovery+). The Springboks have won all three of their autumn Tests so far, including victories over France and Italy while playing with 14 men for most of those matches.

Ireland, meanwhile, have recovered from an opening defeat to New Zealand by beating Japan and Australia, the latter a record 46-19 win in which Mack Hansen scored a hat-trick. However, head coach Andy Farrell has made four changes for the visit of the world's number one-ranked side, with Bundee Aki, Garry Ringrose, Josh van der Flier and Andrew Porter all returning to the starting XV.

South Africa also revert largely to the team that beat France in Paris, with Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu, Damian de Allende and Eben Etzebeth back in the side. Kurt-Lee Arendse misses out through injury, while Franco Mostert is not in the squad despite his red card against Italy being overturned.

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Five of the last six Tests between the sides have been settled by seven points or fewer, and betting sites are backing the Springboks to win by a narrow margin. Ireland's last victory over South Africa came by a single point in Durban in July 2023, while the previous meeting in Dublin in November 2022 ended 19-16 to the home side.

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