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Arsenal vs Chelsea Carabao Cup Prediction: Betting Tips and Odds
Follow our expert football betting tips as Arsenal host Chelsea in a crucial Carabao Cup semi-final second leg clash at the Emirates Stadium tonight.
Becky Ashton
Tuesday 03 February 2026 12:26 GMT
Mikel Arteta is hoping to guide Arsenal into the Carabao Cup final, marking a significant step in their quest for silverware this season. The Gunners hold a narrow advantage from the first leg, but Chelsea remain dangerous opponents with their own ambitions for Wembley glory.
Key Arsenal vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Arsenal to win by one goal - 3/1 with Bet365
- Joao Pedro to score anytime - 10/3 with BetVictor
Carabao Cup Semi-Final Second Leg Preview
Attention returns to the Carabao Cup tonight as Arsenal aim to secure their place in the final with a victory over Chelsea at the Emirates Stadium. The match kicks off at 8pm and will be broadcast live on ITV1 and Sky Sports Main Event.
Arsenal carry a slender 3-2 lead from the first leg, thanks to goals from Ben White, Viktor Gyokeres, and Martin Zubimendi. However, Chelsea's late consolation from Alejandro Garnacho three weeks ago means the tie remains finely balanced, with the Blues believing they can overturn the deficit.
The home side are enjoying an exceptional season, remaining in contention for an unprecedented quadruple. They qualified for the Champions League knockout stages with a perfect record and currently sit six points clear at the Premier League summit. Recent movements in the betting markets have seen Arsenal's quadruple odds shortened to 40/1, reflecting their impressive form.
A victory tonight would represent an important milestone, sending Arsenal to their first final since 2020 when they lifted the FA Cup under Arteta. Their last Carabao Cup final appearance came in 2018, ending in a 3-0 defeat to Manchester City, who could potentially await them again this year. Arsenal last won this competition back in 1993, highlighting the significance of tonight's encounter.
Chelsea arrive at the Emirates with renewed confidence following a remarkable comeback victory against West Ham on Saturday. Trailing 2-0 at halftime, Liam Rosenior's side produced a stunning second-half performance to win 3-2, with Joao Pedro, Marc Cucurella, and Enzo Fernandez finding the net. This resilience was also evident in their Champions League campaign, where they recovered from a deficit to defeat Napoli 3-2 and secure a place in the competition's top eight.
The Blues have considerable pedigree in this competition, having reached ten finals throughout their history, winning five and losing five. Their most recent triumph came in 2015 against Tottenham, though they have suffered three final defeats since then, twice to Liverpool and once to Manchester City.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Betting Analysis: Gunners Favoured to Progress
Mikel Arteta's side are currently second favourites in the Carabao Cup outright market at 6/5, behind only Manchester City. Chelsea are available at 18/1 to lift the trophy. Despite a thirteen-point gap between the teams in the Premier League standings, their previous meetings this season have been closely contested.
The sides played out a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge in November, despite Chelsea playing the entire second half with ten men following Moises Caicedo's 38th-minute dismissal. Trevoh Chalobah gave the hosts an unexpected lead, only for Mikel Merino to equalise for Arsenal. Merino will be absent tonight due to a foot injury requiring surgery, which could sideline him for a significant portion of the title run-in.
Chelsea have struggled at the Emirates in recent visits, losing their last three matches there. Their most recent defeat in this stadium came in this competition, when an Antonio Rudiger own goal and Granit Xhaka's strike secured a 2-1 victory for Arsenal in the 2018 semi-final second leg, despite Eden Hazard giving Chelsea an early lead.
Prediction 1: Arsenal to Win by One Goal - 3/1 with Bet365
Given the narrow margin from the first leg and Chelsea's recent resilience, a one-goal victory for Arsenal represents excellent value at 3/1.
Joao Pedro's Prolific Form
Joao Pedro has enjoyed a sensational start to his Chelsea career since his £60 million summer move from Brighton. The Brazilian forward has already notched fifteen goals for the club, virtually repaying his transfer fee within his first three appearances. He scored twice in the Club World Cup semi-final victory over Fluminense before adding another in the final against Paris Saint-Germain.
This season, Pedro has twelve goals to his name, including five in his last five appearances across all competitions against Brentford, Crystal Palace, Napoli, and West Ham.
Prediction 2: Joao Pedro to Score - 10/3 with BetVictor
With his current scoring form, Pedro represents strong value to find the net against Arsenal's defence.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Team News
Arsenal: The Gunners will be without midfielder Mikel Merino due to a foot injury. Winger Bukayo Saka is also unavailable after suffering a groin injury during the warm-up before last weekend's victory at Leeds.
Chelsea: Forward Jamie Gittens has been ruled out with a hamstring injury sustained during Saturday's match. Goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen could return to the squad, while Estevao is currently on compassionate leave.
Free Football Bets for Arsenal vs Chelsea
Bettors can claim a £5 free bet by wagering on tonight's semi-final second leg at the Emirates Stadium. NetBet are offering punters a free bet for tomorrow's other semi-final between Newcastle and Manchester City as a reward for placing a £5 or more wager on Arsenal against Chelsea.
To qualify, users must have a NetBet account and place a minimum £5 wager on an Arsenal vs Chelsea bet builder containing at least three selections with minimum odds of 3/1. Once the qualifying bet has settled, NetBet will credit accounts with a £5 free bet for use on a bet builder for Manchester City vs Newcastle.
Responsible Gambling Reminder
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Gambling sites provide various tools to help users stay in control, including deposit limits, profit and loss trackers, and self-exclusion options. If you require assistance or advice regarding gambling addiction, please contact relevant support organisations.
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