Ashes 2025 First Test: Australia Favoured for Perth Victory
Ashes 2025 First Test: Australia Favoured in Perth

The highly anticipated Ashes 2025/26 series kicks off this Friday at Perth Stadium, with Australia positioned as strong favourites to secure an early advantage in the iconic cricket contest.

Historical Pressure on England

England face immense pressure to avoid defeat in the opening Test, given historical precedents that heavily favour the home side. The Ben Stokes-led squad has achieved remarkable feats in recent seasons but has yet to win an Ashes series in Australia or recover from a series deficit Down Under.

The last time England overturned a losing position to win an away Ashes series was seventy years ago during the 1954-55 tour led by Sir Leonard Hutton. England's minimal on-field preparation leading into this match could prove costly against a formidable Australian lineup.

Key Bowling Battles

Mitchell Starc emerges as the likely spearhead for Australia's bowling attack, particularly with regular openers Pat Cummins and Josh Hazlewood sidelined due to injury. The left-arm quick brings consistency, genuine pace, and a unique angle of attack that could trouble England's batsmen.

Former Australian fast bowler Jason Gillespie suggested that pitches in Australia might not offer the traditional pace and bounce that England typically encounter, potentially neutralizing some of the visitors' extreme pace options. Nevertheless, England's Jofra Archer represents a significant threat with his consistent line and length, while Mark Wood's raw speed could produce match-changing spells.

Batting Prospects and Value Bets

Travis Head stands out as a crucial figure in Australia's batting lineup, with his aggressive style having previously dismantled England's bowling attacks both at home and abroad. The dynamic left-hander possesses the ability to rapidly change the course of a match and offers excellent value in both top batsman and Man of the Match markets.

For England, Harry Brook appears well-suited to the team's current aggressive approach. The Yorkshireman concluded the English summer with a century against India and has demonstrated strong form in overseas conditions, particularly in New Zealand. If he can adapt successfully to Australian pitches, Brook could lead England's scoring charge in Perth.

Team Composition and Tactical Considerations

Australia's potential debutants include 31-year-old fast bowler Brendan Doggett and batsman Jake Weatherald, introducing an element of uncertainty into the home side's lineup. While Scott Boland returns with an impressive record from the 2021-22 series, the absence of Cummins and Hazlewood presents a genuine opportunity for England to exploit.

The spin department clearly favours Australia, with veteran Nathan Lyon's experience far exceeding that of England's Shoaib Bashir, who appeared rusty in warm-up matches following injury. England may need to temper their typically aggressive batting approach with measured periods of accumulation to build substantial totals against Australia's reconfigured bowling attack.

The first Test begins on Friday at Perth Stadium, with conditions expected to favour the home side but England possessing the firepower to cause an upset if their key players perform to potential.