World Cup 2026: Guardian writers predictions for the tournament
World Cup 2026: Guardian writers predictions for the tournament

The Guardian's team of writers has shared their predictions for the 2026 World Cup in North America, covering everything from the finalists to the Golden Boot winner and potential surprise packages.

Finalists and Winner

Many writers see Spain and France as strong contenders. Alexander Abnos predicts Spain will beat Portugal in the final, while Nick Ames and others back France to defeat Argentina. Bryan Armen Graham and Jonathan Wilson both favor France over Spain. Several writers anticipate a France-Argentina rematch, with France prevailing.

Golden Boot

Harry Kane is a popular choice for top scorer, with writers citing his consistency and England's favorable group fixtures. Kylian Mbappé also receives strong support, with some noting his potential to break Miroslav Klose's all-time record. Mikel Oyarzabal and Erling Haaland are outside picks.

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Surprise Team

Ecuador is widely tipped as a dark horse, thanks to a formidable defense and midfield general Moisés Caicedo. Norway, back in the World Cup for the first time since 1998, is another popular choice, with Erling Haaland leading their attack. Japan and Cape Verde also earn mentions.

Breakthrough Player

Yan Diomande of Ivory Coast is highlighted as a potential breakout star, with Premier League scouts watching. Antonio Nusa of Norway, Gilberto Mora of Mexico, and Lamine Yamal are also tipped for standout performances.

Host Nations

The United States, Mexico, and Canada are all expected to advance from the group stage, but most writers predict round-of-16 or last-32 exits. Home advantage may not be enough to overcome stronger opponents.

England and Scotland

England's quarter-final exit is a common prediction, with Brazil or France as likely opponents. Scotland is expected to reach the last 16 or last 32, with a potential meeting against Mexico.

African Nations

Morocco is seen as the African team most likely to go furthest, possibly repeating their semi-final run from 2022.

Off-Pitch Highlights

Writers look forward to cultural exchanges, visiting new cities, and the unique atmosphere of the World Cup. Some express hope that the tournament will showcase the positive side of the United States.

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