Ten years after the Brexit referendum, the United Kingdom continues to grapple with the seismic political and economic aftershocks of the decision to leave the European Union. The Guardian's economics editor, Heather Stewart, alongside Nosheen Iqbal, examines the enduring impact of that vote, from economic disruptions and toxic immigration debates to a revolving door of prime ministers. But with shifting public attitudes and the potential rise of Labour figure Andy Burnham, the question emerges: could Britain be on a path to rejoin the EU?
The Long Shadow of the Referendum
The 2016 referendum result sent shockwaves through British politics, toppling the establishment and triggering a decade of instability. Stewart notes that the economic friction has been palpable, with trade barriers, labor shortages, and reduced foreign investment. The immigration debate, central to the Leave campaign, remains polarized. Meanwhile, the UK has seen five prime ministers in ten years, reflecting the deep divisions the vote exposed.
According to recent polling, public opinion has shifted: a majority now believes Brexit was a mistake, with many citing economic harm. However, the path back to the EU is fraught with political and procedural hurdles.
Andy Burnham: A Potential Bridge to Europe?
Andy Burnham, the Mayor of Greater Manchester, has emerged as a prominent voice for closer ties with the EU. His popularity and potential leadership bid have fueled speculation about a UK return to the bloc. Burnham has advocated for a 'soft Brexit' and closer alignment with EU standards. But questions remain: would the EU have the UK back? EU officials have signaled openness to a future relationship but demand respect for EU rules and financial contributions.
Stewart and Iqbal explore the complexities: any rejoining would require a new referendum, parliamentary approval, and negotiations. The EU's conditions, including adopting the euro and Schengen, pose further challenges. Yet, with Burnham's rise, the conversation has been reignited.
Conclusion
A decade on, Brexit's legacy is undeniable. While public opinion has soured, the road to rejoining the EU is uncertain. As Andy Burnham gains traction, the UK may be inching toward a new chapter in its European relationship. However, the final decision rests with voters and the political will to navigate the intricate path back.
