As negotiations to end the war in Iran get underway, experts widely agree that the Iranian government holds the upper hand. But if the regime emerges from the conflict stronger than before, what does that mean for the people of Iran? Carter Sherman speaks with Shirin Jaafari, a journalist for the World who focuses on the Middle East, about her reporting on Iranians living through war, a devastated economy, and a government that executes people who dare to protest.
Iranians' Daily Struggles
Jaafari describes how ordinary Iranians are coping with the war's toll. The economy has been shattered by sanctions and conflict, with inflation soaring and unemployment rampant. Many families struggle to afford basic necessities like food and medicine. Protests have erupted sporadically, but the regime's swift and brutal crackdowns deter widespread dissent. According to Jaafari, the government has executed dozens of protesters, instilling fear across society.
Government's Upper Hand in Negotiations
Experts note that Iran's strategic position has strengthened amid the war. The regime has leveraged regional alliances and military capabilities to gain leverage over the US and Israel in peace talks. This advantage may allow Tehran to dictate terms that preserve its power and nuclear ambitions. However, the human cost inside Iran remains severe, with civilians bearing the brunt of the conflict.
US Domestic Impact
Carter Sherman and Kai Wright also discuss the lasting effects of the war in the United States. The conflict has cost American taxpayers billions, diverted resources from domestic needs, and heightened geopolitical tensions. The Trump administration's policy of maximum pressure on Iran has been criticized for escalating hostilities without achieving clear objectives. Americans have also faced increased security threats and a polarized public debate over foreign intervention.
Global Ramifications
Oliver Holmes examines the global cost of the US-Israel war against Iran, including disruptions to oil markets, regional instability, and humanitarian crises. Jason Burke analyzes the peace agreement between the US and Iran, highlighting potential outcomes for the Middle East. The deal could reshape alliances and influence Iran's role in conflicts across Syria, Yemen, and Lebanon.
