Professor Xueqin Jiang, known as 'China's Nostradamus', has issued a new prediction that the United States will lose its conflict with Iran, a development he claims will 'forever change the global order'. The Chinese-Canadian academic, who hosts the YouTube channel Predictive History with 2.28 million subscribers, rose to fame after correctly forecasting Donald Trump's 2024 election victory and the subsequent US-Iran war.
His latest analysis warns that a fragile ceasefire, brokered on April 7, is unlikely to hold. The ceasefire guaranteed safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, but ship-tracking data from MarineTraffic shows only a handful of vessels have transited, with others reportedly warned they would be 'targeted and destroyed' without Iran's permission. Prior to the conflict, 138 ships passed daily.
Professor Jiang's April 2 video, 'Trump World Order', states that the war is 'only starting to ramp up'. He cites rumours that Donald Trump has authorised ground forces, potentially leading to an invasion of Iran as early as this month. Currently, the US has around 50,000 troops in the Middle East, which he deems insufficient given Iran's challenging terrain.
Using a map, he explains that any US ground invasion would face significant obstacles: the Zagros mountains to the west allow Iranian guerrilla warfare and drone strikes; the Dasht-e Kavir and Dasht-e-Lut deserts make eastern approaches difficult; and a southern assault would face both mountains and a long distance to Tehran. Failed peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12 underscore the fragility of the situation.
Professor Jiang's predictions are based on applying Game Theory to historical and current events. His previous forecasts have gained attention for their accuracy, and his latest warning suggests the US is walking into a trap that could reshape global power dynamics.
