The Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) are reportedly investigating a series of multi-million dollar oil price bets that were placed just before key policy announcements by President Donald Trump and an Iranian official regarding the conflict with Iran.
Suspicious Trading Patterns
According to reports, traders placed bets totaling over $500 million that oil prices would fall, occurring just minutes before Trump announced he would delay an attack on Iran's power grid. Further large bets included $960 million placed before a temporary ceasefire was declared, and $760 million before the Strait of Hormuz was announced as open. These trades resulted in over $2.6 billion in profits for the traders.
Timing Raises Red Flags
The timing of these trades, made between March 23 and April 21, has raised serious concerns about potential insider trading. Lawmakers have called for an investigation, and the White House has issued a memo cautioning staff against betting on future markets related to the conflict.
The investigation is ongoing, with authorities examining whether the traders had access to non-public information that influenced their betting decisions.



