Asian Markets Rebound as Trump Signals Potential End to Iran Conflict
Asian Shares Rebound on Trump's Iran War Comments

Asian Markets Rebound as Trump Signals Potential End to Iran Conflict

Asian benchmarks mostly rebounded on Tuesday, echoing the cautious relief that swept through Wall Street after President Donald Trump indicated the United States has engaged in discussions with Iran about a potential resolution to their ongoing war. This development has injected a sense of optimism into global financial markets, which have been volatile due to concerns over the conflict's impact on energy supplies and economic stability.

Market Performance Across Asia

In Japan, the benchmark Nikkei 225 added 1.1% in morning trading, reaching 52,093.02, partially recovering from losses incurred the previous day. Notably, Toyota Motor Corp.'s stock price gained 1.1% after the company announced an overnight investment of $1 billion in its Kentucky and Indiana auto plants. This move is part of a broader plan, unveiled in November, to invest up to $10 billion in the United States over the next five years, reflecting Japanese manufacturers' efforts to demonstrate their contribution to American job creation and economic growth.

Elsewhere in the region, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5% to 8,404.00, while South Korea's Kospi jumped 2.2% to 5,526.24. These gains highlight the sensitivity of Asian markets to geopolitical developments, particularly those affecting the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for energy shipments from the Middle East. Any disruption to access in this region severely impacts Asian economies reliant on stable oil supplies.

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Energy Market Volatility and Global Context

In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude gained $2.02 to $90.15 a barrel, and Brent crude, the international standard, added $1.41 to $101.35 a barrel. This reversal followed an easing overnight on Wall Street, where the price for a barrel of Brent crude had fallen 10.9% to settle at $99.94, down from nearly $120 earlier in the week. The shift was triggered by Trump's statement that the United States and Iran held productive talks "regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East" over the past two days.

However, Iran has denied that such talks took place. Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf claimed in a post on X that "fakenews is used to manipulate the financial and oil markets." This contradiction adds uncertainty to the situation, especially after Trump threatened over the weekend to "obliterate" Iran's power plants if it did not open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours. The narrow waterway off Iran's coast has become a focal point of tension, as a sharp slowdown in traffic has hindered oil tankers from leaving the Persian Gulf, disrupting global supply chains.

Wall Street and Broader Financial Indicators

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 74.52 points to 6,581.00, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a volatile session, initially surging nearly 1,135 points before settling to a more modest gain of 540 points, and ultimately accelerating to finish with a climb of 631 points, or 1.4%, to 46,208.47. The Nasdaq composite jumped 299.15 points, or 1.4%, to 21,946.76. Smaller companies also showed strength, with the Russell 2000 index of smaller stocks leading the market with a 2.3% increase.

In the bond market, Treasury yields eased following Trump's announcement. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.35% on Monday from 4.39% late Friday, though it remains significantly above its pre-war level of 3.97%. In currency trading, the U.S. dollar edged up to 158.62 Japanese yen early Tuesday from 158.35 yen, while the euro cost $1.1586, down from $1.1610. These movements reflect ongoing adjustments in response to geopolitical risks and market sentiment.

AP Business Writer Stan Choe contributed to this report.

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