The UK heatwave that has seen temperatures soar above 30C is set to end abruptly, with weather models showing a drop to as low as 6C in parts of Scotland on Sunday. According to the ECMWF model, morning temperatures across 27 counties in Scotland and northern England will plunge below 10C.
Temperature Drop Details
The Met Office expects peak temperatures in southern England to remain at 30C or more until at least Friday, with northern areas reaching 28C. However, a sharp decline is forecast for the weekend. On Sunday morning, Scotland could see 6C, while northern England may wake to 7C. The warmest morning temperatures are expected in the south-west, around 15C-16C.
By midday Sunday, the ECMWF model shows southern England peaking at just 17C, Wales at 15C, and the Midlands and Northern Ireland at 13C. Temperature anomaly maps indicate most of the UK will be below the seasonal average, except for the south-west.
Affected Counties
The 27 counties forecast to drop below 10C on Sunday morning are all in Scotland and northern England. Scotland includes Caithness, Sutherland, Ross-shire and Cromartyshire, Inverness-shire, Nairnshire, Morayshire, Banffshire, Aberdeenshire, Kincardineshire, Angus, Perthshire, Kinross-shire, Clackmannanshire, Lanarkshire, West Lothian, Midlothian, East Lothian, Berwickshire, Dumfriesshire, Peeblesshire, Selkirkshire, and Roxburghshire. In England, the affected counties are Northumberland, Cumbria, Durham, Yorkshire, and Derbyshire.
Met Office Outlook
The Met Office stated: “Temperatures are expected to be slowly declining from Saturday as the strongest breezes shift to northern regions.” From Sunday onward, conditions will be “somewhat less hot” than recent days. The forecast for July 19 to July 28 adds: “Remaining predominantly dry for most parts of the country as high pressure is likely to remain close to the UK for much of this period. However, with the source region of the air being from the North Atlantic, it will be somewhat less hot compared to many recent days. Any showers during the start of the period are more likely across the far north.”
