Brazil vs Japan World Cup 2026: Prediction, TV, team news, odds
Brazil vs Japan World Cup 2026: Prediction, TV, team news

Brazil take on Japan in the second last-32 fixture at the World Cup on Monday, June 29, 2026. The match kicks off at 6pm BST at Houston Stadium and will be televised live on ITV1 in the UK, with coverage starting at 5.15pm BST. UK viewers can also stream the game via the ITVX app or website.

Brazil's Path to the Knockout Stage

Managed by Carlo Ancelotti, Brazil reached the knockout phase after topping Group C. They opened with a disappointing 1-1 draw against Morocco, but then secured convincing wins over Haiti (3-0) and Scotland (4-1). Vinicius Jr has been the standout performer, scoring in every group match and chasing the Golden Boot with four goals so far. Neymar made a brief appearance off the bench against Scotland but is unlikely to play a major role.

Japan's Group Stage Performance

Japan qualified second from Group F, drawing 0-0 with the Netherlands, 2-2 with Sweden, and thrashing Tunisia 4-0. Manager Hajime Moriyasu previously led Japan to famous victories over Germany and Spain at the 2022 World Cup. Japan's only previous win over Brazil came in October 2025, a 3-2 comeback victory in Tokyo after trailing 2-0.

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Team News and Injuries

Brazil remain without Raphinha, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Bournemouth winger Rayan replaced him against Scotland and is expected to start again. Ancelotti is unlikely to make further changes, with Casemiro anchoring the midfield despite concerns about Japan's energetic pressing. Japan captain Wataru Endo retired internationally before the tournament, and Kaoru Mitoma was not selected due to injury. Real Sociedad winger Takefusa Kubo is a doubt with a knee injury, but centre-back Ko Itakura should be available after recovering from an early withdrawal against Sweden.

Prediction and Head-to-Head

Brazil's squad is considered weaker than past generations, but they should have enough quality to overcome Japan, especially with Vinicius Jr and Matheus Cunha in form. However, Japan's high-energy style could cause problems, as Morocco did in the opener. A shock Japan win is possible, with a predicted score of 3-1. Historically, Brazil have won 11 of 14 meetings, with Japan winning once and two draws. The most recent clash in October 2025 ended in Japan's first victory over Brazil.

Match Odds

Brazil are favourites at 4/7, Japan at 7/2, and a draw at 9/4, according to UK betting sites. Odds are subject to change. Gambling can be addictive; please gamble responsibly.

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