The Independent's journalism is supported by our readers. If you click links to other sites on this page, we will earn commission. Chelsea vs Man City Prediction: FA Cup final betting tips & odds. Follow our football betting tips ahead of the FA Cup final between Chelsea and Manchester City.
Chelsea vs Man City tips: City to win to nil - 9/4 BetVictor
Erling Haaland to score two or more - 4/1 BetVictor.
Manchester City have the chance to complete the domestic cup double on Saturday when they face Chelsea in the FA Cup final at Wembley, while Blues boss Calum McFarlane is hoping he can win his first piece of silverware (kick-off 3pm, live on BBC One and TNT Sports and HBO Max). City have already secured the League Cup with a win over Arsenal back in March, and mathematically they are still in the title race, although manager Pep Guardiola will know that this is his best chance to add to his impressive honours list.
A win for City, which football betting sites have as the favourite, would be the third time he has lifted the trophy and their first win since the 2022/2023 season. This is their fourth successive final, and they were beaten by Manchester United and last season by Crystal Palace, so they will be desperate not to make it three defeats in a row.
For Chelsea, this is their 17th FA Cup final, and they did lose three in a row between 2020 and 2022, beaten by Arsenal, Leicester City and Liverpool. You have to go back to 2017/2018 for their last win, when they beat Manchester United 1-0 thanks to a penalty from Eden Hazard. This season has been a disappointing one for the eight-time winners, who currently sit ninth in the Premier League table and six points off a top-six finish and Champions League place next season. They sacked boss Liam Rosenior last month after just three months in charge, and McFarlane was placed in caretaker charge for the second time this season. He is hoping to emulate fellow temporary bosses Guus Hiddink, Roberto Di Matteo, and Rafael Benítez, who all won trophies with Chelsea. Hiddink guided them to the 2009 FA Cup, Di Matteo won the 2012 Champions League and FA Cup, while Benitez led Chelsea to the Europa League title in 2013.
FA Cup final betting: Chelsea’s torrid run to continue
On paper, this game shouldn’t really be a contest; after all, the only games Chelsea have won since 4 March have come in this competition. They beat Championship side Wrexham 4-2 after extra time, thrashed League One bottom side Port Vale 7-0 and overcame Leeds United 1-0 in the semi-final. In the Premier League, though they have drawn one and lost eight of their last nine games, including a 3-0 defeat at home to Saturday’s opponents. The draw was last time out, though, when they held Liverpool to a 1-1 draw at Anfield.
City go into the game with seven wins and a draw from their last eight in all competitions, including two wins over league leaders Arsenal. Their only slip-up came at Everton a fortnight ago when they battled back to secure a 3-3 draw, which has proved so costly in the title race. The other meeting between the two sides this season, at the Etihad, finished 1-1 when Enzo Fernandez cancelled out Tijjani Reijnders’ opener, in added time.
Chelsea have not won against City in their last 13 meetings, dating back to the 2021 Champions League final, when Kai Havertz scored the only goal of the game. Since then, they have lost 10, including twice in this competition, in January 2023 and April 2024, when they met in the semi-finals at Wembley, and Bernardo Silva scored the only goal of the game.
Betting sites are offering 8/11 on City winning the game in 90 minutes and just 4/11 on them lifting the trophy. Chelsea have found goals hard to come by in recent weeks, with just two in their last six, and their last eight matches at Wembley have produced just seven goals in total, with four goals for and three conceded, so we don’t expect them to be prolific this time around. City, though, have scored in their last 10, since the 3-0 defeat by Real Madrid and are the leading scorers in the Premier League with 75 goals from their 36 games, and they’ve kept out their opponents in nine of their last 13 matches, and we’re backing them to do it again on Saturday. Chelsea’s last eight matches at Wembley have produced just seven goals in total (four goals, three conceded) while they have failed to score in each of their last four finals at the national stadium since a fifth-minute Christian Pulisic goal against Arsenal in the 2020 FA Cup Final.
Chelsea vs Man City prediction 1: City to win to nil - 9/4 BetVictor
FA Cup final prediction: Surely Haaland has to score eventually? We feel like we have to keep backing City striker Erling Haaland to finally break his cup final and Wembley duck, because it has to happen at some point, doesn’t it? Despite a ridiculous scoring record at City, which has seen him score 161 goals in 196 games for City, he’s yet to do it on the biggest stage. The striker has played in nine finals with City, including Community Shield matches, and he’s failed to score in all of them, including eight appearances at Wembley.
Surely, just based on the law of averages, he’s due a cup final goal soon, and with seven goals in his last seven games, including a hat-trick in the FA Cup quarter-final win over Liverpool. He already has 50 goals for club and country this season, so can he make it 51 at Wembley this weekend? Well, betting apps are offering 10/11 on him scoring at any time or 4/1 on him scoring two or more. The fact that he has done it 13 times already this season and once before against Chelsea shouldn’t be underestimated, and once he finally breaks that duck, there could be no stopping him. He was left on the bench for Wednesday’s win over Crystal Palace, so he will be fresh for this one and ready to impress.
Chelsea vs Man City prediction 2: Haaland to score two or more - 4/1 BetVictor
Chelsea vs Man City team news:
Chelsea: Robert Sanchez should be back in contention after missing the trip to Anfield with a head injury suffered against Nottingham Forest, but Jesse Derry, who went off in the same game with the same injury, will miss out. Pedro Neto and Alejandro Garnacho also remain doubtful.
Man City: Josko Gvardiol is back in contention after playing for the first time since 4 January, on Wednesday, after a broken shinbone. Ruben Dias was an unused substitute in that game after nearly two months out, and Rodri could also return.
FA Cup final betting offers
Ladbrokes are offering new customers the chance to claim 50/1 enhanced odds on Chelsea to have a shot on target with its betting sign up offer for the FA Cup final. New customers need only click the link below and sign up for Ladbrokes to qualify before depositing £10 and betting a maximum £1 on Chelsea to have a shot on target in the match at the normal odds before kick-off. If Chelsea have a shot on target, customers will receive a cash payout at the normal price, while the rest of the 50/1 odds are credited as 10 x £5 free bets to use on the sportsbook. Free bets are active for four days.
Please gamble responsibly. When having a bet, it’s vital to practice responsible gambling. Betting can be addictive and it’s important to stay in control of your betting. Never treat gambling as a way to make money, never bet more than you can afford and when the fun stops, stop. Gambling sites offer punters tools, like deposit limits, profit and loss trackers and self-exclusion options, to help them stay in control. But if you ever feel like you need help or advice on gambling addiction, don’t hesitate to contact one of the charities or organisations below: NHS Help, GambleAware, Gamblers Anonymous.
We may earn commission from some of the links in this article, but we never allow this to influence our content. This revenue helps to fund journalism across The Independent. We aim to offer every online gambler and reader of The Independent a safe and fair platform through unbiased reviews and offers from the UK’s best online gambling companies. Gambling can be addictive, always play responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling sites have a number of tools to assist you to stay in control, including deposit limits and time outs. If you think you have a problem, advice and support is available for you now from BeGambleAware or Gamcare. Any offers or odds listed in this article are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Terms & Conditions apply to all offers.
