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Chelsea vs Leeds prediction: FA Cup betting tips, odds & line ups
Follow our football betting tips as Chelsea take on Leeds in the FA Cup semi-final.
Becky Ashton Saturday 25 April 2026 17:30 BST
(Getty)
Chelsea vs Leeds betting tips
- Under 2.5 goals - 19/20 Unibet
- Pedro Neto to score anytime - 17/5 BetMGM
It is all change at Chelsea again following the sacking of Liam Rosenior, with interim head coach Calum McFarlane leading out the Blues for Sunday's FA Cup semi-final against Leeds at Wembley (3pm, TNT Sports 1 & HBO Max). Rosenior lasted just four months in the Stamford Bridge dugout before being relieved of his duties on Wednesday after a run of seven defeats in eight games, including their 3-0 defeat to Brighton on Tuesday. Their only win in that run was the 7-0 victory over Port Vale in the FA Cup quarter-finals, but Leeds will pose a far stiffer test, and the semi-final underdogs on betting sites approach this game in good form.
The Whites have eased their relegation worries with a return of seven points from the last three games, following up back-to-back wins over Manchester United and Wolves with a hard-fought draw at Bournemouth on Wednesday. In this competition, they have beaten Derby County, Birmingham City, Norwich and West Ham to reach their first semi-final since 1987, when they were beaten by Coventry City.
Chelsea vs Leeds betting: Can Chelsea find their form?
Despite their poor form, football betting sites all have Chelsea as the favourites for the tie and they are second favourites to lift the trophy behind Manchester City. They have had a pretty easy run so far, with all of their opposition coming from the EFL. They beat Championship sides Charlton 5-1, Hull City 4-0 and Wrexham 4-2, all away from home, before the 7-0 thrashing of Vale at Stamford Bridge. It is hardly surprising that they are the competition's leading scorers, with 20, and they have only managed more twice before. In the 1969-70 season, they scored 25, and in the 2006-07 season, they finished with 21. On both occasions, they lifted the trophy. They have scored at least four goals in all four games and could be the first side in FA Cup history to score four or more in five games in a row.
Leeds have picked up four points against Chelsea so far this season, but they are without a win in nine FA Cup ties between the two sides. Goals from Jaka Bijol, Ao Tanaka and Dominic Calvert-Lewin earned Daniel Farke's side a 3-1 win at Elland Road back in December, before they came from 2-0 down at Stamford Bridge back in February. Joao Pedro and a penalty from Cole Palmer gave the home side a 2-0 lead before a penalty from Lukas Nmecha and a strike from Noah Okafor earned them a share of the points. Leeds have lost their last three games at Wembley without scoring a single goal. They went down 0-3 to Aston Villa in the 1996 League Cup final, 0-1 vs Doncaster in the 2008 League One play-off final and 0-1 vs Southampton in the 2024 Championship play-off final. In fact, the last Leeds player to score at Wembley was Eric Cantona, who netted a hat-trick in a 4-3 win over Liverpool in the 1992 Charity Shield. Leeds are unbeaten in seven and have proven a tough nut to crack recently, while Chelsea's managerial change makes this a tough semi-final to call. Preference instead goes to a low-scoring tie at just shy of evens.
Chelsea vs Leeds prediction 1: Under 2.5 goals - 19/20 Unibet
Chelsea vs Leeds prediction: Neto to keep up his FA Cup record
Pedro Neto has already scored four goals in this season's competition and three of those goals came against Hull City in the fourth round. The midfielder has 10 for the season, which is the same as he netted last season in 61 games for club and country, and he has at least six more games to improve upon the number. He netted the consolation goal at Elland Road earlier in the season and is available at 17/5 to score anytime on some betting apps.
Chelsea vs Leeds prediction 2: Pedro Neto to score anytime - 17/5 BetMGM
Chelsea vs Leeds team news
Chelsea: Cole Palmer faces a fitness check on a hamstring issue, but Joao Pedro should be good to go after missing the last two games. Estevao, Levi Colwill, Jamie Gittens, Filip Jorgensen and Reece James are out.
Leeds: Daniel James could be available after returning to training, but Anton Stach is likely to miss out with an ankle issue.
Free bets for Chelsea vs Leeds
The FA Cup semi-final is the biggest game on Sunday's slate of matches and for anyone planning to have a bet on the game, Coral are running a bet £5, get £30 in free bets deal. The offer is only open to new customers who go through the registration process and then make a first deposit of at least £5 using an eligible payment method. Once the account is funded, punters will need to wager £5 or more at odds of 1/2 or greater on any sports market. Once the bet is settled, Coral will credit bettors with £30 in free bets, split into 6x £5 free bet tokens. 4x £5 free bet tokens can be used on any sport, while one is reserved for a football bet builder and the other a horse racing bet builder.
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