AFL 2026 Season Preview: Ladder Predictions Unveil Surprises and Struggles
The 2026 AFL season is poised to be a pivotal one, with significant challenges and opportunities awaiting teams across the league. As rule changes, including the introduction of a wildcard round and an extended finals series, reshape the competition, the battle for supremacy intensifies. In this first part of a three-part series, we delve into the predicted bottom half of the ladder, highlighting key players, coaching strategies, and team prospects.
Richmond Tigers: A Time for Rebuilding and Optimism
Predicted to finish 18th, Richmond faces a wooden spoon scenario, but this position is not without its silver linings. The Tigers endured a difficult 2025 season, marred by injuries, including the Noah Balta assault case and a struggling midfield that failed to adapt to modern football trends. However, there were positive signs: a strong backline, veteran leadership, and promising performances from younger players. Under coach Adem Yze, who found his footing, Richmond showed resilience, notably with a cherished win over Carlton. Moving forward, the team aims to build on these foundations, playing bolder football and potentially disrupting rivals.
West Coast Eagles: Signs of Improvement Amid Challenges
West Coast is projected at 17th, following a one-win season in 2025. Despite this, the Eagles demonstrated progress, leading against top teams like Brisbane and Collingwood in away games and nearly defeating ladder-leader Adelaide. Key player Harley Reid acknowledged the difficulties ahead, but with improved fitness and emerging talents like Tom McCarthy, West Coast is on a trajectory for quicker recovery than many anticipate. The team's conditioning has notably enhanced, setting the stage for a more competitive 2026 campaign.
Essendon Bombers: Seeking Redemption After a Turbulent Year
Essendon, placed 16th, looks to rebound from a season plagued by injuries, with coach Brad Scott addressing last year's best and fairest with his arm in a sling. The Bombers had up to 20 players on their injury list at one point, but Scott's ability to adapt and develop talent offers hope. With strategic draft selections and a focus on patience and realism, Essendon aims to turn their fortunes around, relying on key players like Zach Merrett to lead the charge.
North Melbourne Kangaroos: Frustration and Potential for Growth
North Melbourne, predicted 15th, is described as an infuriating team due to inconsistent performances, particularly in defense. Despite having a strong midfield and forward line, their overall ground defense remains a shambles. With winnable early games on the horizon, the Kangaroos must address coaching strategies and player commitment to avoid further fan discontent and start a meaningful rise up the ladder.
Port Adelaide Power: Navigating Uncertainty and Talent
Port Adelaide, at 14th, faced a brutal 2025 season with injuries, including Todd Marshall's achilles tendon issue, and a challenging draw. Under departing coach Ken Hinkley, they won fewer than 10 games for the first time, with significant losses. However, the team retains exceptional top-end talent from their late-2024 peak. The key question is whether they have the depth and young players to spike in performance, making them a difficult team to assess for 2026.
Collingwood Magpies: On a Cliff Edge with Age Concerns
Collingwood, projected 13th, is at a critical juncture. Despite a proud history and coach Craig McRae's optimism, the team's age profile is concerning. While they have proven competitive, as seen in their preliminary final against Brisbane, issues like Bobby Hill's unavailability and Dan Houston's tentative play pose challenges. The Magpies' exhilarating football under McRae has been memorable, but without addressing these gaps, they risk falling further in the standings.
This analysis sets the stage for further predictions in parts two and three, offering a detailed look at the evolving AFL landscape for 2026.
