The future of Ukraine hangs in the balance as global powers manoeuvre behind the scenes. Two figures loom large over the conflict: former US President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin. Their decisions—and potential negotiations—could redefine the region's destiny.
The Trump Factor: A Wildcard in US Foreign Policy
With Trump eyeing a potential return to the White House, his stance on Ukraine remains a critical unknown. Known for his unpredictable diplomacy, Trump has previously expressed admiration for Putin while simultaneously criticising NATO's role. Experts suggest a second Trump term could dramatically alter Western support for Kyiv.
Putin's Endgame: What Does Russia Really Want?
The Kremlin continues to push its narrative of 'special military operation' while facing unprecedented sanctions. Analysts debate whether Putin seeks regime change in Ukraine or simply a buffer zone against NATO expansion. Recent troop movements suggest preparations for a prolonged conflict.
Four Possible Scenarios for Ukraine
- Frozen Conflict: A Korea-style division with ongoing tensions
- Russian Victory: Forced concessions from Ukraine
- Ukrainian Counteroffensive: Pushing Russian forces back
- Negotiated Settlement: Brokered by unexpected mediators
The coming months may prove decisive as winter approaches and political winds shift in Washington. One thing remains certain: the people of Ukraine continue paying the highest price in this geopolitical showdown.
