Monaco Bombing: Putin Suspected in Assassination Attempt on Ukrainian Billionaire
Monaco Bombing: Putin Suspected in Attack on Ukrainian Billionaire

Ukrainian property tycoon Vadim Ermolaev, 58, is fighting for his life after a booby-trapped backpack exploded outside his luxury home in Monaco. The attack, which police are treating as a deliberate targeted hit, has left his wife, Anna Iermolaieva, without both feet and in a life-threatening condition. The couple's teenage son was also injured.

Suspect Fled to France

The parcel bombing, unprecedented in the safe billionaire's enclave, has sparked a cross-border manhunt. The suspect is believed to have fled to neighbouring France. No arrests have been made, but several theories have emerged about who might be behind the attack.

Vladimir Putin has been accused of ordering the assassination attempt. Mr Ermolaev, a Ukrainian-born businessman originally from Dnipro, built his fortune through the Alef Group, a diversified holding with interests in commercial real estate, manufacturing, and agriculture. He became one of Ukraine's best-known property developers, leading projects that reshaped parts of Dnipro's city centre, and has regularly appeared in rankings of Ukraine's wealthiest businessmen.

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Russian Connection Theory

Through his property empire, Mr Ermolaev has close business ties within Russia, a country where businessmen who irritate the Kremlin are frequently targeted for assassination. Following the 2014 annexation of Crimea by Vladimir Putin, Mr Ermolaev lost several breweries and offices in the region. He attempted to retrieve these when Russia launched its full-scale invasion in 2022, leading the Ukrainian government to freeze his assets in December 2023 for paying taxes to the Russian Federation. His agricultural firm, the Alef Group, is also heavily invested in eastern and southern Ukraine, areas under heavy shelling.

In December 2023, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy imposed sanctions on Mr Ermolaev as part of a broader package targeting individuals and companies Kyiv said had business links to Russia or Russian-occupied territories. Mr Ermolaev had previously renounced his Ukrainian citizenship and became a Cypriot citizen in 2017.

Ukrainian Secret Services Theory

Others have speculated that Ukraine may be behind the attack. Despite being born in the country, Mr Ermolaev was no friend of Kyiv, ending up on their sanctions list and being named in the Battalion Monaco exposé by Ukrainian media, which focused on wealthy Ukrainians who fled abroad. However, Ukraine has launched drone attacks on Russian soil, but a bombing in Monaco would risk political fallout at a time when Zelensky is asking for military aid from European neighbours.

Organised Crime or Political Motivation

There is also the possibility that neither Ukraine nor Russia was involved, and that the attack was carried out by an individual with connections to organised crime or a private political motivation. His dealings in property and alcohol in the disputed Crimean peninsula would have exposed him to a mafia state where local gangs and corrupt officials wield unchecked power.

Police Investigation

French and Monaco authorities are searching for an unidentified suspect. Christophe Mirmand, minister of state for Monaco, said it appeared the family was specifically targeted and the suspect had walked around the area several times waiting for the victims before the attack. Prosecutor Stephane Thibault told reporters that Monaco police have opened an attempted murder investigation but are not treating the incident as an act of terrorism.

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