Exclusive internal polling data has triggered alarm bells within political circles, revealing that independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr is emerging as a formidable force capable of dramatically reshaping the 2024 election.
The findings, presented by renowned Trump-affiliated pollster Tony Fabrizio, indicate Kennedy is not merely a protest candidate but is pulling significant support from critical voter demographics essential for a Biden victory.
A Genuine Electoral Threat
Fabrizio's comprehensive analysis, which included a substantial sample size and deep-dive cross-tabs, concludes that RFK Jr's candidacy is far more than a political sideshow. The data suggests he is drawing substantial support from disaffected Democrats, independents, and key minority groups, particularly Hispanic and Black voters.
The most alarming finding for Democrats: In a multi-candidate race, Kennedy's presence on the ballot appears to disproportionately harm President Biden's numbers, potentially tilting the electoral college in Donald Trump's favour.
Swing States in the Crosshairs
The briefing highlighted several critical swing states where Kennedy's impact could be decisive:
- Georgia: Kennedy polls at a staggering 11%, pulling almost equally from both major candidates.
- Michigan: He captures 10% of the vote, disrupting the traditional Democratic stronghold.
- Arizona & Nevada: His support remains significant, making these tight races even more unpredictable.
This erosion of support in states Biden won by narrow margins in 2020 presents a clear and present danger to his re-election bid.
Inside the Democratic Panic
The leaked details of the Fabrizio briefing have ignited a firestorm of concern among Democratic operatives. Strategies that once focused solely on a Trump rematch are now being hastily re-evaluated. The party faces a complex dilemma: how to combat a candidate who leverages a storied political name to appeal to voters across the traditional political spectrum.
Kennedy's blend of anti-establishment rhetoric, environmental activism, and scepticism towards mainstream institutions appears to be resonating with a segment of the electorate disillusioned with both major parties.
As one source privy to the data noted, the assumption that Kennedy would simply be a footnote in this election cycle has been completely upended. He is now widely viewed as a potent spoiler capable of altering the outcome on November 5th.
