Our football betting tips focus on Chelsea versus Tottenham at Stamford Bridge tonight, with kick-off at 8:15 pm on Sky Sports Premier League. Tottenham Hotspur can secure their Premier League future if they manage a rare win or even a draw against their London rivals.
Match Context and Stakes
Spurs currently sit two points clear of West Ham with two games remaining, holding a superior goal difference of -9 compared to West Ham's -22. A point tonight would almost certainly relegate the Hammers, making this a crucial fixture for Roberto De Zerbi's side. Despite a terrible record against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, Tottenham enter the match in decent form, with two wins and two draws from their last four outings. Betting sites offer odds of 14/5 for a Spurs victory.
Chelsea, meanwhile, are without a league win in their last seven matches, though they ended a six-game losing streak with a 1-1 draw at Anfield. However, they suffered another FA Cup final defeat on Saturday, losing 1-0 to Manchester City—their fourth consecutive loss in the competition. The Blues will be buoyed by the appointment of new manager Xabi Alonso, who takes charge from July 1.
Historical Record and Form
Tottenham have won just one of their last 35 away games against Chelsea, drawing 11 and losing 23. That sole victory came in 2018 when Dele Alli scored twice in a 3-1 win under Mauricio Pochettino. Given Chelsea's struggles this season, the historical dominance may not be as relevant. The Blues have scored only two goals in their last seven league matches, excluding FA Cup games. In contrast, Spurs have netted six times in the five matches since De Zerbi took over and feel aggrieved about a penalty not awarded against Leeds last time out.
Chelsea have not lost their final home game of the season in any of the last 23 campaigns, winning 16 and drawing seven, since a 3-1 defeat to Aston Villa in May 2022. Given their recent inability to secure wins and Spurs' desperation to avoid defeat, a draw looks a strong betting option.
Betting Tip 1: Draw at 11/4 with Betfred
The draw offers good value given the circumstances. Chelsea's poor form and Spurs' need for a point make a stalemate likely.
Key Player: Enzo Fernandez
Enzo Fernandez has scored two goals in his last three appearances against Tottenham, including the winner at Stamford Bridge and Chelsea's third in a 4-3 victory at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last season. He also scored Chelsea's goal in the 1-1 draw at Liverpool. With 14 goals this season, Fernandez is priced at 9/4 on betting apps to score anytime. He has netted the last goal nine times this campaign, available at 15/2.
Betting Tip 2: Fernandez to Score at Any Time at 11/5 with William Hill
Fernandez's record against Spurs makes him a strong candidate to find the net.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Chelsea: Sanchez; Fofana, Chalobah, Hato; Gusto, Caicedo, Fernandez, Cucurella; Palmer, Neto; Delap
Tottenham: Kinsky; Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Udogie; Bentancur, Palhinha; Kolo Muani, Gallagher, Tel; Richarlison
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