An analysis by Sky News, based on recent polling, suggests that Reform UK and the Conservatives are splitting each other's vote base, which could allow Labour to win hundreds of constituencies if an election were held now.
The analysis indicates that the Tories and Reform are effectively helping Prime Minister Andy Burnham by dividing the right-wing vote. According to the analysis, there are scores of constituencies across Britain where Reform and the Tories are competing directly.
Tactical voting could deliver a monster majority
If right-wing voters voted tactically, backing the party with the best chance of winning and delivering, the Reform/right-wing bloc would be on 470 seats out of 650. That would give Nigel Farage a majority large enough to transform the UK in the direction right-leaning voters want.
Even if only half of these voters voted tactically, the bloc would still be on 383 seats, well over the 326 MPs needed to form a government.
Restore could hand power back to Labour
The analysis also warns that Restore, Rupert Lowe's party, could split the vote for Reform in 50 constituencies, handing power straight back to Labour. Restore is described as a wasted vote, with no chance of forming a government.
According to the analysis, if Restore voters want a genuinely patriotic government, voting for Rupert Lowe's party instead of Reform would deliver the exact reverse of what they want.
Conservative record under scrutiny
The article also criticises the Conservative Party's record, including its handling of Brexit, the 'Boriswave' of immigration, failure to leave the ECHR, and the small boats crisis. It also cites high debt, high taxes, and high crime.
It notes that Boriswave migrants will be eligible for permanent residency from now until 2030, and questions whether Tory voters trust the party to fix a problem it created. A genuine patriotic Centre-Right government could be on around 400 seats, the article concludes.
