The Scottish Tories are "cautiously optimistic" in the Aberdeen South by-election, the Press Association understands. Party MSP Douglas Lumsden is running in the seat, aiming to replace former SNP Westminster leader Stephen Flynn. Senior SNP figures have also appeared pessimistic, suggesting a heavy tactical vote in early counting has coalesced around the Tory candidate.
Background of the By-Election
Mr Flynn stood down last month after being elected as an MSP, with Stephen Gethins doing the same. Both were quickly shepherded into John Swinney's Government at Holyrood. The campaign for Aberdeen South became a battle over the future of oil and gas, with the Conservatives, Reform, and the SNP vying to persuade voters in the city – dubbed the energy capital of Europe – that they support the industry the most. Candidates reported the fate of the industry was one of the key issues on the doorsteps during canvassing sessions.
Candidates and Issues
Former MP Richard Thomson is running for the SNP, while the Tory candidate is MSP Douglas Lumsden and Reform's is Jo Hart. Other candidates include Jorg Shelton Eckstein of the Scottish Greens, Scottish Liberal Democrat Mel Sullivan, Labour's Nurul Hoque Ali, and David Ballantine of the Alliance for Democracy and Freedom. Meanwhile, the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry contest has focused on the cost of living, according to those running. Lawyer and party adviser Lara Bird is contesting the constituency for the SNP, against Reform's Bill Reid and local Labour councillor Heather Doran. Jack Cruickshanks of the Scottish Tories and Tanvir Ahmad of the Liberal Democrats are also running.
Polling and Results
Polling stations opened at 7am and closed at 10pm, with ballots to be counted overnight. The results are expected in the early hours of Friday morning.



